494
FNUS51 KBUF 040805
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 AM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025

.DISCUSSION...
A cold front will move east across the area today, producing a
period of showers and scattered thunderstorms. A few storms may
contain gusty winds and brief, heavy downpours. Mainly dry weather
will return Friday, although it will turn windy, especially
northeast of Lake Erie across the Niagara Frontier. A secondary cold
front will then cross the area Friday night and Saturday with a few
more showers. This front will usher in much cooler air for the
weekend, along with the potential for a few lake effect rain showers
east of Lake Erie and Lake Ontario.

NYZ201-042000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 AM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy       Mclear
Precip Type                     Tstms      Showers         None
Chance Precip (%)                  90           50            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       79           47           78
Min/Max Humidity (%)               40          100           42
AM Wind (mph)                S  9 G22                  S  5 G21
PM Wind (mph)               SW 11 G23        SW  5    SW 10 G32
Precip Amount                    0.33         0.19         0.00
Precip Duration                     9            2
Precip Begin                     8 AM   Continuing
Precip End                 Continuing         1 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           6740           10         6830
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 23         W 10        SW 24
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              155020          100       163920
Dispersion Index                  155            0          164
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-042000-
Southern Tier-
404 AM EDT Thu Sep 4 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Mcldy        Pcldy       Mclear
Precip Type                     Tstms         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  80            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       75           44           77
Min/Max Humidity (%)               53          100           39
AM Wind (mph)                S 10 G21                  S  6 G22
PM Wind (mph)               SW 10 G21      Lgt/Var    SW 12 G23
Precip Amount                    0.22         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     9
Precip Begin                     8 AM
Precip End                       6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           5140                      6920
Transport Wind (kts)            SW 21        SW  5        SW 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              107940            0       173000
Dispersion Index                  108            0          173
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the mid 50s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
mid 60s.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.
.MONDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
lower 60s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
60s.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 50. Highs in the lower
70s.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...South around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures near normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$