Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
389
FNUS51 KBUF 122104
FWFBUF
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Lake effect rain and wet snow focused northeast of both lakes
earlier in the day will continue to change over to rain through the
course of the afternoon. Lake effect precipitation will continue
Thursday and into Friday morning, though milder temperatures will
allow for mostly plain rain. A brief period of areawide dry weather
expected early this weekend before unsettled weather returns by the
second half of the weekend.
NYZ201-130900-
Lake Ontario Plains-
404 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Frz Rain Frz Rain Frz Rain Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 60 40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 29 44 24 44
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 65 100 58
AM Wind (mph) W 8 G21 NW 5
PM Wind (mph) W 9 G22 W 9 G22 W 6 NW 6
Precip Amount 0.12 0.10 0.04 0.01
Precip Duration 6 7 6 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 4790 4340
Transport Wind (kts) W 16 NW 17 NW 14 NW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 81430 0 52080
Dispersion Index 0 81 0 52
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ200-130900-
Southern Tier-
404 PM EST Wed Nov 12 2025
Tonight Thu Thu Night Fri
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Frz Rain Frz Rain None
Chance Precip (%) 80 40 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Min/Max Temp 30 43 28 43
Max/Min Humidity (%) 100 57 100 55
AM Wind (mph) W 10 G21 NW 6
PM Wind (mph) W 9 G23 W 10 G22 W 7 NW 7
Precip Amount 0.10 0.05 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 4 2 2
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Height (ft-agl) 4850 4760
Transport Wind (kts) W 15 NW 25 NW 13 NW 17
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 0 121250 0 80920
Dispersion Index 0 121 0 81
Remarks...None.
$$
.EXTENDED FORECAST...
.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 20s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs in the
upper 40s.
.SUNDAY...Rain with snow showers and freezing rain likely. Lows
in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with snow and rain showers likely. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the upper 30s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow showers.
Lows around 30. Highs in the lower 40s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow
showers. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the lower 40s.
WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND SATURDAY...Northeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...West around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$