810
FNUS51 KBUF 171405
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
1004 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure over Lake Huron will track northeastward into Quebec
today...and in the process will push a pair of cold fronts across
the region between this afternoon and evening. These will bring some
additional...mainly scattered showers and thunderstorms to the
region today...with the greatest convective coverage expected east
of Lake Ontario this afternoon. It will also turn rather breezy to
windy today...particularly northeast of Lakes Erie and Ontario where
winds could briefly gust to as high as 45 mph. Following the passage
of the secondary cold front...cooler and notably drier air will
overspread our region for Friday and Saturday.

NYZ201-172000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
1004 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy       Mclear
Precip Type                     Tstms         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  60            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              50            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       86           54           77
Min/Max Humidity (%)               56          100           38
AM Wind (mph)               SW  9 G33                      N  5
PM Wind (mph)               SW 15 G35     W 13 G33      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.21         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     3
Precip Begin                     6 AM
Precip End                       6 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           4930           30         5970
Transport Wind (kts)             W 25        NW 20        NW  5
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              123250          600        29850
Dispersion Index                  123            1           30
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-172000-
Southern Tier-
1004 AM EDT Thu Jul 17 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Fri
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                     Tstms         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                  30            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)              30            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       85           56           75
Min/Max Humidity (%)               55          100           43
AM Wind (mph)               SW 10 G30                   Lgt/Var
PM Wind (mph)                W 15 G31     W 11 G25      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount                    0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                     1
Precip Begin                     6 AM
Precip End                       1 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           5970           60         5250
Transport Wind (kts)             W 25        NW 15        NW  3
Vent Rate (kt-ft)              149250          900        15750
Dispersion Index                  149            1           16
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.FRIDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s.
.SATURDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs around
80.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 60s. Highs in the upper 70s.
.MONDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 60. Highs in the upper 70s.
.TUESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 60. Highs in the lower 80s.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of showers. Lows in the mid
60s. Highs in the mid 80s.

WIND FRIDAY NIGHT...Light winds.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...South around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$