145
FNUS51 KBUF 040904
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
404 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

.DISCUSSION...
A long stretch of very dry weather continues across the region,
with minimal rainfall over the past three weeks, leaving fine
fuels and leaf litter very dry across the region.

Dry weather will continue today along with near record warmth.
A southerly breeze will increase into the 10 to 20 mph range
with some higher gusts. Afternoon minimum relative humidity may
drop into the 40 to 45 percent range.

A cold front will then cross the region tonight, bringing a
period of beneficial rain to the region. Rainfall amounts will
be light, with 0.25" or less in most areas. Another system will
cross the eastern Great Lakes late Friday through the weekend
with additional rain chances, along with cooler temperatures and
higher relative humidity.

NYZ201-042100-
Lake America Plains-
404 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

                                Today      Tonight          Thu
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type                      None      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0           80           80
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       77           55           70
Min/Max Humidity (%)               41          100           52
AM Wind (mph)                    S  6                 SW  8 G24
PM Wind (mph)                    S  6         S  8     W  8 G25
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.11         0.12
Precip Duration                                  6            7
Precip Begin                                  8 PM   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing         4 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           4030          420         5510
Transport Wind (kts)             S 12         S 13        SW 16
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               48360         5460        88160
Dispersion Index                   55            3          112
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-042100-
Southern Tier-
404 AM EST Wed Nov 4 2026

                                Today      Tonight          Thu
Cloud Cover                     Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type                      None      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)                   0           80           80
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       76           55           72
Min/Max Humidity (%)               40          100           44
AM Wind (mph)                    S  6                 SW  8 G20
PM Wind (mph)                    S  8     S 10 G23    SW  7 G22
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.09         0.05
Precip Duration                                  5            2
Precip Begin                                  7 PM   Continuing
Precip End                              Continuing         1 PM
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           3670          430         5930
Transport Wind (kts)             S 15         S 15        SW 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               55050         6450       106740
Dispersion Index                   61            5          109
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of showers. Highs in the
lower 60s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely. Lows in the lower
40s. Highs in the lower 50s.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain showers. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the lower 50s.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
50s.

WIND THURSDAY NIGHT...Southwest around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND SUNDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND MONDAY...West 5 to 10 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...Southwest 5 to 10 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$