461
FNUS51 KBUF 051804
FWFBUF

Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Western New York
National Weather Service Buffalo NY
204 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure draped along the eastern seaboard will only slowly
drift offshore through Monday. This will maintain fair dry and
unseasonably warm weather through the start of the new work
week...before a cold front brings some beneficial rainfall as it
crosses the region between Tuesday amd Tuesday night. Following the
frontal passage...Canadian high pressure will then build across the
Great Lakes and New England through the rest of the week. This will
usher in a return to fair dry weather along with a short period of
much cooler temperatures Wednesday and Thursday...before readings
climb back to a little above average for the end of the week and
start of next weekend.

NYZ201-052000-
Lake Ontario Plains-
204 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     Clear       Mclear       Mclear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       85           54           83
Min/Max Humidity (%)               27           96           29
AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                      S  5
PM Wind (mph)                   SW  5      Lgt/Var        SW  7
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           6600                      6950
Transport Wind (kts)            SW  8         S  9        SW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               52800            0        90350
Dispersion Index                   53            0           90
Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ200-052000-
Southern Tier-
204 PM EDT Sun Oct 5 2025

                                Today      Tonight          Mon
Cloud Cover                     Clear        Clear       Mclear
Precip Type                      None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)                   0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%)               0            0            0
Max/Min Temp                       84           50           83
Min/Max Humidity (%)               21           93           24
AM Wind (mph)                 Lgt/Var                      S  5
PM Wind (mph)                    S  5      Lgt/Var        SW  6
Precip Amount                    0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Height (ft-agl)           6750                      7390
Transport Wind (kts)             S  9         S  8         W 11
Vent Rate (kt-ft)               60750            0        81290
Dispersion Index                   61            0           81
Remarks...None.

$$

.EXTENDED FORECAST...

.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers. Lows in
the lower 60s.
.TUESDAY...Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Highs in the
lower 70s.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers, cooler. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s.
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the mid
50s.
.FRIDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower
60s.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the mid
60s.

WIND MONDAY NIGHT...East around 5 mph.
WIND TUESDAY...South around 10 mph.
WIND WEDNESDAY...North 5 to 10 mph.
WIND THURSDAY...North around 5 mph.
WIND FRIDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.
WIND SATURDAY...Southeast around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation below normal.

$$