River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Versions:
1
203 FGUS51 KTAR 191602 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1201 PM EDT Sat Sep 19 2026 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Sep-19 1100 AM .ER ATTN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E2 :0920: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E3 :0921: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.3 .E4 :0922: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.23/ 0.16/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.7 FT at Sep-19 1100 AM .ER BTVN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E2 :0920: / 1.8 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E3 :0921: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E4 :0922: / 1.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.22/ 0.15/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.5 FT at Sep-19 1100 AM .ER RAPN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E2 :0920: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E3 :0921: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.6 .E4 :0922: / 1.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.15/ 0.11/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.4 FT at Sep-19 1115 AM .ER GOWN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4 .E2 :0920: / 1.7 / 2.2 / 2.3 / 2.0 .E3 :0921: / 1.8 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.6 .E4 :0922: / 1.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.29/ 0.22/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.08/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 0.6 FT at Sep-19 1146 AM .ER GDVN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 0.6 / 0.6 / 0.6 .E2 :0920: / 0.7 / 0.8 / 0.7 / 0.6 .E3 :0921: / 0.6 / 0.5 / 0.5 / 0.5 .E4 :0922: / 0.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.17/ 0.14/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.8 FT at Sep-19 1130 AM .ER LCSN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.9 .E2 :0920: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.0 / 2.9 .E3 :0921: / 2.9 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E4 :0922: / 2.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.14/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.4 FT at Sep-19 1100 AM .ER EBZN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E2 :0920: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E3 :0921: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E4 :0922: / 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.18/ 0.14/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.9 FT at Sep-19 1115 AM .ER WILN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E2 :0920: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E3 :0921: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E4 :0922: / 1.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.14/ 0.12/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.7 FT at Sep-19 1045 AM .ER WLLN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E2 :0920: / 4.9 / 5.4 / 5.9 / 5.8 .E3 :0921: / 5.6 / 5.5 / 5.3 / 5.2 .E4 :0922: / 5.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.32/ 0.41/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.29/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 9.1 FT at Sep-19 1100 AM .ER PRTN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 9.1 / 9.0 / 9.0 .E2 :0920: / 9.1 / 9.4 / 9.8 / 10.2 .E3 :0921: / 10.4 / 10.4 / 10.2 / 10.0 .E4 :0922: / 9.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.29/ 0.30/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.14/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 588.9 FT at Sep-19 1100 AM .ER MMDN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 589.1 / 589.1 / 589.1 .E2 :0920: / 589.2 / 589.1 / 589.6 / 590.1 .E3 :0921: / 590.9 / 592.4 / 594.7 / 591.8 .E4 :0922: / 591.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.31/ 0.17/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 15.9 FT at Sep-19 1115 AM .ER AVON6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 15.8 / 15.7 / 15.6 .E2 :0920: / 15.5 / 15.5 / 15.7 / 16.1 .E3 :0921: / 16.5 / 17.2 / 18.1 / 18.9 .E4 :0922: / 19.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.27/ 0.17/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.4 FT at Sep-19 1100 AM .ER GRBN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E2 :0920: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E3 :0921: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E4 :0922: / 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.23/ 0.15/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.7 FT at Sep-19 1100 AM .ER CHRN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E2 :0920: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E3 :0921: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E4 :0922: / 1.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.16/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.0 FT at Sep-19 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 .E2 :0920: / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 .E3 :0921: / 5.1 / 5.3 / 5.4 / 5.7 .E4 :0922: / 5.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.18/ 0.14/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Sep-19 1130 AM .ER HNYN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E2 :0920: / 2.2 / 2.3 / 2.4 / 2.5 .E3 :0921: / 2.4 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.2 .E4 :0922: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.31/ 0.20/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 687.9 FT at Sep-19 1115 AM .ER CNDN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 687.9 / 687.9 / 687.9 .E2 :0920: / 687.9 / 687.9 / 687.9 / 687.9 .E3 :0921: / 687.9 / 687.9 / 687.9 / 687.9 .E4 :0922: / 687.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.33/ 0.21/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.2 FT at Sep-19 1130 AM .ER CPNN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.3 .E2 :0920: / 3.4 / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.6 .E3 :0921: / 3.5 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :0922: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.0 FT at Sep-19 1100 AM .ER BOON6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.0 .E2 :0920: / 4.0 / 4.0 / 4.1 / 4.2 .E3 :0921: / 4.3 / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.2 .E4 :0922: / 4.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.12/ 0.39/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.0 FT at Sep-19 1130 AM .ER MCKN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E2 :0920: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E3 :0921: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E4 :0922: / 2.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.39/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.8 FT at Sep-19 1130 AM .ER ARTN6 20260919 E DC202609191201/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0919: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.7 .E2 :0920: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E3 :0921: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.9 / 2.9 .E4 :0922: / 2.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.36/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...