River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
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243 FGUS51 KTAR 151516 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1116 AM EDT Tue Jul 15 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Jul-15 1100 AM .ER ATTN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E2 :0716: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.4 / 3.5 .E3 :0717: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E4 :0718: / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.16/ 0.39/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.7 FT at Jul-15 1100 AM .ER BTVN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.6 .E2 :0716: / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E3 :0717: / 1.6 / 1.7 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E4 :0718: / 1.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.36/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.2 FT at Jul-15 1100 AM .ER RAPN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E2 :0716: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E3 :0717: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E4 :0718: / 1.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.17/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.7 FT at Jul-15 1031 AM .ER GOWN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 1.7 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E2 :0716: / 1.6 / 1.8 / 2.3 / 2.2 .E3 :0717: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.8 .E4 :0718: / 1.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.15/ 0.42/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.06/ 0.02/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 0.7 FT at Jul-15 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 0.6 / 0.5 / 0.5 .E2 :0716: / 0.5 / 0.7 / 0.9 / 0.7 .E3 :0717: / 0.6 / 0.6 / 0.6 / 0.6 .E4 :0718: / 0.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.33/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.7 FT at Jul-15 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E2 :0716: / 2.7 / 3.0 / 3.3 / 3.0 .E3 :0717: / 2.9 / 2.9 / 2.9 / 2.8 .E4 :0718: / 2.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.24/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Jul-15 1100 AM .ER EBZN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E2 :0716: / 2.3 / 2.4 / 2.5 / 2.4 .E3 :0717: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E4 :0718: / 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.27/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.02/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.9 FT at Jul-15 1015 AM .ER WILN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E2 :0716: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E3 :0717: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E4 :0718: / 1.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.18/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.5 FT at Jul-15 1045 AM .ER WLLN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.4 .E2 :0716: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.6 / 4.9 .E3 :0717: / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 .E4 :0718: / 4.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.44/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 9.1 FT at Jul-15 1100 AM .ER PRTN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 9.0 / 8.9 / 8.7 .E2 :0716: / 8.6 / 8.6 / 8.5 / 8.6 .E3 :0717: / 9.0 / 9.5 / 9.3 / 9.0 .E4 :0718: / 8.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.41/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 586.2 FT at Jul-15 1000 AM .ER MMDN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 586.2 / 586.2 / 586.2 .E2 :0716: / 586.2 / 586.2 / 586.2 / 586.2 .E3 :0717: / 586.2 / 586.2 / 586.2 / 586.2 .E4 :0718: / 586.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.35/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 15.2 FT at Jul-15 1015 AM .ER AVON6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 15.4 / 15.5 / 15.5 .E2 :0716: / 15.4 / 15.3 / 15.2 / 15.1 .E3 :0717: / 15.0 / 15.1 / 15.2 / 15.4 .E4 :0718: / 15.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.33/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.5 FT at Jul-15 1100 AM .ER GRBN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E2 :0716: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E3 :0717: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E4 :0718: / 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.36/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.4 FT at Jul-15 1100 AM .ER CHRN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4 .E2 :0716: / 1.4 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E3 :0717: / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E4 :0718: / 1.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.31/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.6 FT at Jul-15 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.5 .E2 :0716: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E3 :0717: / 4.4 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E4 :0718: / 4.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.53/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Jul-15 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E2 :0716: / 2.2 / 2.3 / 2.7 / 2.4 .E3 :0717: / 2.3 / 2.4 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E4 :0718: / 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.52/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 688.3 FT at Jul-15 1015 AM .ER CNDN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 688.2 / 688.2 / 688.2 .E2 :0716: / 688.2 / 688.2 / 688.3 / 688.3 .E3 :0717: / 688.3 / 688.3 / 688.3 / 688.3 .E4 :0718: / 688.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.49/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.4 FT at Jul-15 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E2 :0716: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E3 :0717: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E4 :0718: / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.5 FT at Jul-15 1100 AM .ER BOON6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 5.2 / 4.9 / 4.7 .E2 :0716: / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.4 .E3 :0717: / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.4 .E4 :0718: / 4.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.17/ 0.07/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.13/ 0.05/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Jul-15 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E2 :0716: / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.1 .E3 :0717: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E4 :0718: / 2.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.16/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.03/ 0.14/ 0.09/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.2 FT at Jul-15 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20250715 E DC202507151116/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0715: / 3.8 / 3.9 / 4.0 .E2 :0716: / 4.0 / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.5 .E3 :0717: / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E4 :0718: / 3.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.18/ 0.09/ 0.00/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...