River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
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917 FGUS51 KTAR 051451 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1051 AM EDT Sun Oct 05 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Oct-05 1000 AM .ER ATTN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E2 :1006: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E3 :1007: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.4 / 3.5 .E4 :1008: / 3.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.17/ 0.57/ 0.31/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.3 FT at Oct-05 1000 AM .ER BTVN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E2 :1006: / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E3 :1007: / 1.3 / 1.4 / 1.7 / 1.9 .E4 :1008: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.18/ 0.54/ 0.28/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.0 FT at Oct-05 1000 AM .ER RAPN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0 .E2 :1006: / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0 .E3 :1007: / 1.0 / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.2 .E4 :1008: / 1.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.26/ 0.53/ 0.19/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 0.9 FT at Oct-05 1015 AM .ER GOWN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 .E2 :1006: / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 .E3 :1007: / 0.9 / 1.1 / 1.6 / 2.1 .E4 :1008: / 2.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.18/ 0.54/ 0.33/ 0.03/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 0.3 FT at Oct-05 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 0.3 / 0.3 / 0.3 .E2 :1006: / 0.3 / 0.3 / 0.3 / 0.3 .E3 :1007: / 0.4 / 0.7 / 1.0 / 1.0 .E4 :1008: / 0.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.22/ 0.60/ 0.28/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.4 FT at Oct-05 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E2 :1006: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E3 :1007: / 2.5 / 3.2 / 3.7 / 3.6 .E4 :1008: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.24/ 0.58/ 0.26/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.8 FT at Oct-05 1000 AM .ER EBZN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E2 :1006: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E3 :1007: / 2.1 / 2.4 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E4 :1008: / 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.24/ 0.62/ 0.28/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.8 FT at Oct-05 1015 AM .ER WILN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E2 :1006: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E3 :1007: / 1.7 / 1.8 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E4 :1008: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.28/ 0.57/ 0.22/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.2 FT at Oct-05 0945 AM .ER WLLN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E2 :1006: / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E3 :1007: / 4.2 / 4.3 / 4.4 / 4.7 .E4 :1008: / 4.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.26/ 0.32/ 0.08/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 8.2 FT at Oct-05 1000 AM .ER PRTN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 8.2 / 8.2 / 8.2 .E2 :1006: / 8.3 / 8.3 / 8.3 / 8.3 .E3 :1007: / 8.3 / 8.3 / 8.5 / 8.9 .E4 :1008: / 9.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.38/ 0.39/ 0.04/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 585.1 FT at Oct-05 1000 AM .ER MMDN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 585.1 / 585.1 / 585.1 .E2 :1006: / 585.1 / 585.1 / 585.1 / 585.1 .E3 :1007: / 585.1 / 585.1 / 587.5 / 589.0 .E4 :1008: / 589.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.41/ 0.37/ 0.03/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 13.3 FT at Oct-05 1015 AM .ER AVON6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 13.3 / 13.3 / 13.3 .E2 :1006: / 13.3 / 13.3 / 13.3 / 13.3 .E3 :1007: / 13.3 / 13.3 / 13.3 / 13.4 .E4 :1008: / 13.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.44/ 0.36/ 0.03/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Oct-05 1000 AM .ER GRBN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E2 :1006: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E3 :1007: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E4 :1008: / 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.14/ 0.50/ 0.29/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.2 FT at Oct-05 1000 AM .ER CHRN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E2 :1006: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E3 :1007: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E4 :1008: / 1.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.18/ 0.49/ 0.20/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.0 FT at Oct-05 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 2.9 / 2.9 / 2.9 .E2 :1006: / 2.9 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E3 :1007: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.9 .E4 :1008: / 3.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.49/ 0.28/ 0.02/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.7 FT at Oct-05 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E2 :1006: / 1.7 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E3 :1007: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 2.0 / 2.3 .E4 :1008: / 2.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.40/ 0.43/ 0.04/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 686.9 FT at Oct-05 1015 AM .ER CNDN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 686.9 / 686.9 / 686.9 .E2 :1006: / 686.9 / 686.9 / 686.9 / 686.9 .E3 :1007: / 686.9 / 686.9 / 686.9 / 687.0 .E4 :1008: / 687.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.08/ 0.36/ 0.44/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.2 FT at Oct-05 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E2 :1006: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E3 :1007: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :1008: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Oct-05 1000 AM .ER BOON6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 .E2 :1006: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 .E3 :1007: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.7 / 4.0 .E4 :1008: / 4.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.43/ 0.67/ 0.11/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.9 FT at Oct-05 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.8 .E2 :1006: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E3 :1007: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 / 2.1 .E4 :1008: / 2.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.45/ 0.61/ 0.12/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.6 FT at Oct-05 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20251005 E DC202510051051/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :1005: / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E2 :1006: / 2.6 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E3 :1007: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.6 .E4 :1008: / 2.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.55/ 0.46/ 0.05/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...