River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Versions:
1
115 FGUS51 KTAR 281521 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1121 AM EDT Thu Aug 28 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Aug-28 1100 AM .ER ATTN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E2 :0829: / 3.3 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E3 :0830: / 3.4 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :0831: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.02/ 0.39/ 0.19/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.4 FT at Aug-28 1100 AM .ER BTVN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 1.4 / 1.5 / 1.8 .E2 :0829: / 1.9 / 1.8 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E3 :0830: / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E4 :0831: / 1.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.37/ 0.20/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.1 FT at Aug-28 1100 AM .ER RAPN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.2 .E2 :0829: / 1.2 / 1.3 / 1.3 / 1.4 .E3 :0830: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.4 .E4 :0831: / 1.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.53/ 0.24/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.1 FT at Aug-28 1015 AM .ER GOWN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 1.1 / 1.2 / 1.3 .E2 :0829: / 1.4 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E3 :0830: / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.3 / 1.2 .E4 :0831: / 1.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.36/ 0.19/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 0.4 FT at Aug-28 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 0.5 / 0.9 / 0.9 .E2 :0829: / 0.7 / 0.6 / 0.5 / 0.5 .E3 :0830: / 0.5 / 0.5 / 0.5 / 0.5 .E4 :0831: / 0.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.51/ 0.20/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.6 FT at Aug-28 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 2.7 / 3.7 / 3.5 .E2 :0829: / 3.1 / 3.0 / 2.9 / 2.8 .E3 :0830: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E4 :0831: / 2.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.51/ 0.23/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.9 FT at Aug-28 1000 AM .ER EBZN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 2.1 / 2.4 / 2.3 .E2 :0829: / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E3 :0830: / 2.2 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E4 :0831: / 2.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.04/ 0.61/ 0.19/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.8 FT at Aug-28 1015 AM .ER WILN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 1.8 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E2 :0829: / 1.9 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E3 :0830: / 2.0 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.8 .E4 :0831: / 1.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.03/ 0.58/ 0.24/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.3 FT at Aug-28 1045 AM .ER WLLN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E2 :0829: / 4.3 / 4.4 / 4.4 / 4.3 .E3 :0830: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.3 .E4 :0831: / 4.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 8.4 FT at Aug-28 1100 AM .ER PRTN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 8.4 / 8.5 / 8.6 .E2 :0829: / 8.7 / 8.8 / 8.7 / 8.6 .E3 :0830: / 8.6 / 8.6 / 8.6 / 8.6 .E4 :0831: / 8.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 585.1 FT at Aug-26 0900 AM .ER MMDN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 585.1 / 585.1 / 585.1 .E2 :0829: / 585.1 / 585.1 / 585.1 / 585.1 .E3 :0830: / 585.1 / 585.1 / 585.1 / 585.1 .E4 :0831: / 585.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.18/ 0.12/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 13.8 FT at Aug-28 1015 AM .ER AVON6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 13.8 / 13.7 / 13.7 .E2 :0829: / 13.8 / 13.9 / 14.0 / 14.2 .E3 :0830: / 14.3 / 14.3 / 14.4 / 14.4 .E4 :0831: / 14.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.18/ 0.15/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Aug-28 1100 AM .ER GRBN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E2 :0829: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E3 :0830: / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E4 :0831: / 2.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.26/ 0.16/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.2 FT at Aug-28 1100 AM .ER CHRN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 1.2 / 1.3 / 1.3 .E2 :0829: / 1.3 / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4 .E3 :0830: / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4 / 1.4 .E4 :0831: / 1.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.31/ 0.19/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.8 FT at Aug-28 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 3.7 / 3.7 / 3.8 .E2 :0829: / 3.8 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 4.0 .E3 :0830: / 4.1 / 4.1 / 4.2 / 4.2 .E4 :0831: / 4.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.23/ 0.16/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.9 FT at Aug-28 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 2.0 .E2 :0829: / 2.2 / 2.3 / 2.3 / 2.2 .E3 :0830: / 2.1 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E4 :0831: / 1.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.14/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 687.6 FT at Aug-28 1115 AM .ER CNDN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.6 .E2 :0829: / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.6 .E3 :0830: / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.6 / 687.5 .E4 :0831: / 687.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.12/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.2 FT at Aug-28 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.3 .E2 :0829: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E3 :0830: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E4 :0831: / 3.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.9 FT at Aug-28 1100 AM .ER BOON6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 .E2 :0829: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 .E3 :0830: / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.9 / 3.8 .E4 :0831: / 3.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.15/ 0.16/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.6 FT at Aug-28 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E2 :0829: / 1.7 / 1.8 / 1.9 / 1.8 .E3 :0830: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E4 :0831: / 1.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.15/ 0.19/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.8 FT at Aug-28 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20250828 E DC202508281121/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0828: / 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.6 .E2 :0829: / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E3 :0830: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E4 :0831: / 2.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.13/ 0.30/ 0.14/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...