River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
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105 FGUS51 KTAR 011634 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1133 AM EST Mon Dec 01 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at Dec-01 1100 AM .ER ATTN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.5 .E2 :1202: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E3 :1203: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E4 :1204: / 3.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.13/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.08/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.0 FT at Dec-01 1100 AM .ER BTVN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 2.0 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E2 :1202: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E3 :1203: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E4 :1204: / 1.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.12/ 0.09/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.07/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.7 FT at Dec-01 1100 AM .ER RAPN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.6 .E2 :1202: / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E3 :1203: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E4 :1204: / 1.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.11/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.09/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Dec-01 1115 AM .ER GOWN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 2.2 / 2.2 / 2.2 .E2 :1202: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E3 :1203: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E4 :1204: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.13/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.11/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.2 FT at Dec-01 1115 AM .ER GDVN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 1.2 / 1.2 / 1.2 .E2 :1202: / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.1 / 1.0 .E3 :1203: / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0 .E4 :1204: / 1.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.13/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.11/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at Dec-01 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E2 :1202: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E3 :1203: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :1204: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.13/ 0.08/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.10/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.0 FT at Dec-01 1100 AM .ER EBZN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 3.0 / 3.0 / 2.9 .E2 :1202: / 2.9 / 2.9 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E3 :1203: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E4 :1204: / 2.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.14/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.13/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.1 FT at Dec-01 1115 AM .ER WILN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E2 :1202: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.0 .E3 :1203: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E4 :1204: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.12/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.12/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.7 FT at Dec-01 1045 AM .ER WLLN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E2 :1202: / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 .E3 :1203: / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 .E4 :1204: / 4.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.11/ 0.13/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 9.7 FT at Dec-01 1100 AM .ER PRTN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.6 .E2 :1202: / 9.5 / 9.5 / 9.4 / 9.2 .E3 :1203: / 9.2 / 9.1 / 9.1 / 9.1 .E4 :1204: / 9.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.12/ 0.11/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 588.9 FT at Dec-01 1100 AM .ER MMDN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 588.6 / 588.6 / 588.6 .E2 :1202: / 588.6 / 588.6 / 588.6 / 588.6 .E3 :1203: / 588.6 / 588.6 / 588.6 / 588.6 .E4 :1204: / 588.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.11/ 0.10/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 16.4 FT at Dec-01 1115 AM .ER AVON6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 16.4 / 16.4 / 16.6 .E2 :1202: / 16.7 / 16.7 / 16.7 / 16.6 .E3 :1203: / 16.5 / 16.3 / 16.1 / 15.8 .E4 :1204: / 15.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.10/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.5 FT at Dec-01 1100 AM .ER GRBN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E2 :1202: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E3 :1203: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E4 :1204: / 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.12/ 0.09/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.5 FT at Dec-01 1100 AM .ER CHRN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E2 :1202: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E3 :1203: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.4 / 1.4 .E4 :1204: / 1.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.11/ 0.08/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.3 FT at Dec-01 0700 AM .ER RHRN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3 .E2 :1202: / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3 / 5.3 .E3 :1203: / 5.2 / 5.2 / 5.1 / 5.1 .E4 :1204: / 5.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.10/ 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.03/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.4 FT at Dec-01 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E2 :1202: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E3 :1203: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E4 :1204: / 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.10/ 0.11/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 686.6 FT at Dec-01 1115 AM .ER CNDN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 686.6 / 686.6 / 686.6 .E2 :1202: / 686.6 / 686.6 / 686.6 / 686.6 .E3 :1203: / 686.6 / 686.6 / 686.6 / 686.6 .E4 :1204: / 686.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.10/ 0.12/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.2 FT at Dec-01 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E2 :1202: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E3 :1203: / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E4 :1204: / 3.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.7 FT at Dec-01 1100 AM .ER BOON6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E2 :1202: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E3 :1203: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.6 .E4 :1204: / 4.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.25/ 0.06/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.07/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.7 FT at Dec-01 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.5 .E2 :1202: / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.3 .E3 :1203: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E4 :1204: / 3.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ 0.21/ 0.07/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.07/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.9 FT at Dec-01 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20251201 E DC202512011133/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1201: / 4.8 / 4.8 / 4.7 .E2 :1202: / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.5 / 4.4 .E3 :1203: / 4.3 / 4.3 / 4.2 / 4.1 .E4 :1204: / 4.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ 0.18/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.11/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...