River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
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046 FGUS51 KTAR 151627 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1226 PM EDT Sun Jun 15 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at Jun-15 1100 AM .ER ATTN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E2 :0616: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E3 :0617: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E4 :0618: / 3.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.0 FT at Jun-15 1200 PM .ER BTVN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E2 :0616: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 1.9 .E3 :0617: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E4 :0618: / 1.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.04/ 0.01/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.7 FT at Jun-15 1200 PM .ER RAPN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E2 :0616: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E3 :0617: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E4 :0618: / 1.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.8 FT at Jun-15 1115 AM .ER GOWN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 1.8 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E2 :0616: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E3 :0617: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.8 / 1.8 .E4 :0618: / 1.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 0.8 FT at Jun-15 1115 AM .ER GDVN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 .E2 :0616: / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 .E3 :0617: / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 / 0.9 .E4 :0618: / 0.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.02/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.1 FT at Jun-15 1130 AM .ER LCSN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 3.1 / 3.1 / 3.1 .E2 :0616: / 3.1 / 3.1 / 3.1 / 3.1 .E3 :0617: / 3.1 / 3.1 / 3.2 / 3.1 .E4 :0618: / 3.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.02/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.5 FT at Jun-15 1200 PM .ER EBZN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E2 :0616: / 2.5 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E3 :0617: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.5 / 2.4 .E4 :0618: / 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.05/ 0.03/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.0 FT at Jun-15 1215 PM .ER WILN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E2 :0616: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E3 :0617: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E4 :0618: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.1 FT at Jun-15 1145 AM .ER WLLN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 5.1 / 5.1 / 5.0 .E2 :0616: / 5.0 / 5.0 / 5.0 / 4.9 .E3 :0617: / 4.9 / 5.0 / 5.1 / 5.1 .E4 :0618: / 5.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.19/ 0.15/ 0.05/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 9.9 FT at Jun-15 1200 PM .ER PRTN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 9.9 / 9.8 / 9.8 .E2 :0616: / 9.8 / 9.7 / 9.7 / 9.7 .E3 :0617: / 9.6 / 9.6 / 9.7 / 9.7 .E4 :0618: / 9.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.09/ 0.12/ 0.03/ 0.01/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 592.7 FT at Jun-15 1200 PM .ER MMDN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 594.1 / 594.1 / 594.1 .E2 :0616: / 594.1 / 594.1 / 594.1 / 594.1 .E3 :0617: / 594.1 / 594.1 / 594.1 / 594.1 .E4 :0618: / 594.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 20.5 FT at Jun-15 1115 AM .ER AVON6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 20.0 / 19.3 / 19.0 .E2 :0616: / 18.8 / 18.6 / 18.5 / 18.3 .E3 :0617: / 18.2 / 18.1 / 17.9 / 17.9 .E4 :0618: / 17.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.06/ 0.01/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.8 FT at Jun-15 1200 PM .ER GRBN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E2 :0616: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E3 :0617: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E4 :0618: / 2.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.04/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.7 FT at Jun-15 1200 PM .ER CHRN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E2 :0616: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E3 :0617: / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 / 1.7 .E4 :0618: / 1.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.03/ 0.00/ 0.01/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 7.5 FT at Jun-15 0800 AM .ER RHRN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 7.1 / 6.8 / 6.6 .E2 :0616: / 6.4 / 6.3 / 6.2 / 6.0 .E3 :0617: / 5.9 / 5.8 / 5.6 / 5.5 .E4 :0618: / 5.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.05/ 0.00/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.1 FT at Jun-15 1130 AM .ER HNYN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 3.1 / 3.1 / 3.0 .E2 :0616: / 3.0 / 3.0 / 3.0 / 3.0 .E3 :0617: / 3.0 / 3.0 / 3.0 / 3.0 .E4 :0618: / 3.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.03/ 0.09/ 0.02/ 0.00/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 688.7 FT at Jun-15 1215 PM .ER CNDN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 688.7 / 688.7 / 688.7 .E2 :0616: / 688.6 / 688.6 / 688.6 / 688.6 .E3 :0617: / 688.6 / 688.6 / 688.6 / 688.6 .E4 :0618: / 688.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ 0.11/ 0.03/ 0.00/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.9 FT at Jun-15 1130 AM .ER CPNN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 .E2 :0616: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 .E3 :0617: / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 / 3.8 .E4 :0618: / 3.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.8 FT at Jun-15 1200 PM .ER BOON6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 4.8 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E2 :0616: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E3 :0617: / 4.7 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 .E4 :0618: / 4.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ 0.21/ 0.09/ 0.03/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.5 FT at Jun-15 1130 AM .ER MCKN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E2 :0616: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.4 .E3 :0617: / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 / 2.4 .E4 :0618: / 2.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.03/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.01/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.15/ 0.05/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.8 FT at Jun-15 1130 AM .ER ARTN6 20250615 E DC202506151226/DH14/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 8AM / 2PM / 8PM / 2AM .E1 :0615: / 3.8 / 3.7 / 3.7 .E2 :0616: / 3.6 / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E3 :0617: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E4 :0618: / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.02/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.01/ 0.09/ 0.03/ 0.03/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...