River Forecast
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
Issued by NWS Buffalo, NY
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780 FGUS51 KTAR 181621 RVFBUF RIVER FORECAST NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER...NORTON, MA 1121 AM EST Tue Nov 18 2025 : :THIS IS A NWS GUIDANCE PRODUCT FROM THE NORTHEAST RIVER FORECAST CENTER. :OFFICIAL FORECASTS/WARNINGS ARE ONLY ISSUED BY LOCAL NWS OFFICES. : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Attica, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at Nov-18 1100 AM .ER ATTN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E2 :1119: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E3 :1120: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E4 :1121: / 3.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Batavia, NY :Flood stage 9.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.1 FT at Nov-18 1100 AM .ER BTVN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.0 .E2 :1119: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 1.9 .E3 :1120: / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 / 1.9 .E4 :1121: / 1.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Tonawanda Creek - Rapids, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Nov-18 1100 AM .ER RAPN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 2.3 / 2.2 / 2.1 .E2 :1119: / 2.0 / 1.9 / 1.8 / 1.7 .E3 :1120: / 1.7 / 1.6 / 1.6 / 1.6 .E4 :1121: / 1.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Cattaraugus Creek - Gowanda, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.3 FT at Nov-18 1015 AM .ER GOWN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 2.4 / 2.3 / 2.3 .E2 :1119: / 2.2 / 2.1 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E3 :1120: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E4 :1121: / 2.1 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.07/ : :************************************************************ :Buffalo Creek - Gardenville, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.1 FT at Nov-18 1015 AM .ER GDVN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 1.1 / 1.0 / 1.0 .E2 :1119: / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0 .E3 :1120: / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0 / 1.0 .E4 :1121: / 0.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Cayuga Creek - Lancaster, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.5 FT at Nov-18 1030 AM .ER LCSN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 3.5 / 3.5 / 3.5 .E2 :1119: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E3 :1120: / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E4 :1121: / 3.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ : :************************************************************ :Cazenovia Creek - Ebenezer, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.0 FT at Nov-18 1100 AM .ER EBZN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 3.0 / 2.9 / 2.9 .E2 :1119: / 2.9 / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.8 .E3 :1120: / 2.8 / 2.8 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E4 :1121: / 2.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.06/ : :************************************************************ :Ellicott Creek - Williamsville, NY :Flood stage 8.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.2 FT at Nov-18 1015 AM .ER WILN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 2.2 / 2.1 / 2.1 .E2 :1119: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E3 :1120: / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 / 2.0 .E4 :1121: / 2.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Wellsville, NY :Flood stage 11.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.7 FT at Nov-18 1045 AM .ER WLLN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 .E2 :1119: / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.7 / 4.6 .E3 :1120: / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 / 4.6 .E4 :1121: / 4.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Portageville, NY :Flood stage 19.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 10.2 FT at Nov-18 1100 AM .ER PRTN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 10.2 / 10.2 / 10.2 .E2 :1119: / 10.2 / 10.2 / 10.1 / 10.1 .E3 :1120: / 10.0 / 10.0 / 10.0 / 9.9 .E4 :1121: / 9.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.05/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Mount Morris Dam, NY :Flood stage 760.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 590.9 FT at Nov-18 1100 AM .ER MMDN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 591.0 / 591.0 / 591.0 .E2 :1119: / 591.0 / 591.0 / 591.0 / 591.0 .E3 :1120: / 591.0 / 591.0 / 591.0 / 591.0 .E4 :1121: / 591.0 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Avon, NY :Flood stage 33.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 19.0 FT at Nov-18 1015 AM .ER AVON6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 19.0 / 18.9 / 18.8 .E2 :1119: / 18.6 / 18.5 / 18.5 / 18.5 .E3 :1120: / 18.4 / 18.3 / 18.2 / 18.0 .E4 :1121: / 17.9 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY RESERVOIR REGULATION :************************************************************ :Oatka Creek - Garbutt, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.8 FT at Nov-18 1100 AM .ER GRBN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 2.7 / 2.6 / 2.5 .E2 :1119: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E3 :1120: / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 / 2.5 .E4 :1121: / 2.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Black Creek - Churchville, NY :Flood stage 6.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 1.6 FT at Nov-18 1100 AM .ER CHRN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 1.6 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E2 :1119: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E3 :1120: / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 / 1.5 .E4 :1121: / 1.5 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Genesee River - Rochester, NY :Flood stage 15.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 6.4 FT at Nov-18 0700 AM .ER RHRN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 6.3 / 6.3 / 6.2 .E2 :1119: / 6.1 / 6.1 / 6.0 / 6.0 .E3 :1120: / 6.0 / 5.9 / 5.9 / 5.9 .E4 :1121: / 5.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Honeoye Creek - Honeoye Falls, NY :Flood stage 6.5 ft :Latest Observed Value - 2.7 FT at Nov-18 1030 AM .ER HNYN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 2.7 / 2.7 / 2.7 .E2 :1119: / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E3 :1120: / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 / 2.6 .E4 :1121: / 2.6 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ : :RIVER STAGE IS AFFECTED BY DIVERSION :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Lake - Canandaigua, NY :Flood stage 690.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 686.7 FT at Nov-18 1015 AM .ER CNDN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HPIFF/DIH6 :POOL FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 686.7 / 686.7 / 686.7 .E2 :1119: / 686.7 / 686.7 / 686.7 / 686.7 .E3 :1120: / 686.7 / 686.7 / 686.7 / 686.7 .E4 :1121: / 686.7 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.04/ : :************************************************************ :Canandaigua Outlet - Chapin, NY :Flood stage 7.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 3.3 FT at Nov-18 1030 AM .ER CPNN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E2 :1119: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E3 :1120: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.3 .E4 :1121: / 3.3 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : : :************************************************************ :Black River - Boonville, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.4 FT at Nov-18 1100 AM .ER BOON6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 5.3 / 5.2 / 5.1 .E2 :1119: / 5.0 / 4.9 / 4.9 / 4.9 .E3 :1120: / 4.9 / 4.8 / 4.8 / 4.8 .E4 :1121: / 4.8 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Moose River - McKeever, NY :Flood stage 12.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 4.0 FT at Nov-18 1030 AM .ER MCKN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 4.0 / 3.9 / 3.7 .E2 :1119: / 3.6 / 3.5 / 3.4 / 3.4 .E3 :1120: / 3.3 / 3.3 / 3.2 / 3.2 .E4 :1121: / 3.2 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ : :************************************************************ :Black River - Watertown, NY :Flood stage 10.0 ft :Latest Observed Value - 5.7 FT at Nov-18 1030 AM .ER ARTN6 20251118 E DC202511181121/DH13/HGIFF/DIH6 :STAGE FCST / 7AM / 1PM / 7PM / 1AM .E1 :1118: / 5.7 / 5.7 / 5.7 .E2 :1119: / 5.5 / 5.4 / 5.2 / 4.9 .E3 :1120: / 4.8 / 4.6 / 4.5 / 4.4 .E4 :1121: / 4.4 : Local QPF - 6 hr timestep : 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.00/ 0.02/ : :******************************************************************* : : $$ :NERFC :...END of MESSAGE...