Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC
Issued by NWS Columbia, SC
580 FXUS62 KCAE 142351 AFDCAE Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Columbia SC 651 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure keeps dry conditions in place through the weekend with gradual warming trend continuing. Near or slightly above normal temperatures expected for much of the long term with low rain chances. && .NEAR TERM /UNTIL 6 AM SATURDAY MORNING/... Key message(s): - Dry high pressure is locked in place with clear skies and light winds. Northwesterly flow aloft and surface high pressure continues to dig in across the area. Clear skies will continue overnight, but some subtle increase in the pressure gradient by Saturday morning will start to increase low level flow. An increase in low level winds below 850mb overnight will inhibit ideal radiational cooling. But low temps will still fall to between 40 and 45 degrees F. && .SHORT TERM /6 AM SATURDAY MORNING THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... Key message(s): - Above normal temperatures and windy conditions expected High pressure will dominate the weather pattern in the short term. Dry weather is very likely with below normal atmospheric moisture in place. SW flow will strengthen through the short term leading to above normal temperatures and breezy winds. Sunday looks to be the apex of both of those conditions with highs pushing into the mid to upper 70s and gusts around 25 mph. && .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/... Key message(s): - Near or above normal temperatures, dry weather favored Global ensembles generally favor weak ridging or zonal flow across the Southeast through the long term. This pattern favors near or slightly above normal temperatures. The coolest weather is expected early in the week as a dry cold front brings highs back down to near normal. Temperature rise to above normal by mid week. Models are in general agreement, supporting shortwave troughs moving across the region but keep the more amplified troughs to our west or lifting north. There may be cold front which moves across the Deep South late in the period, which will be the next chance for rain and possibly thunderstorms. && .AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/... VFR through the period. High pressure is in place with clear skies and light winds forecast overnight. Winds will start to increase above the nocturnal inversion early Saturday morning, but will not be strong enough for a LLWS mention. After the morning inversion mixes out later Saturday morning, breezy winds the remainder of the day are expected with gusts to around 20 knots in the afternoon out the southwest. EXTENDED AVIATION OUTLOOK...VFR conditions likely continue into the weekend with dry air in place. Windy conditions expected Sunday otherwise VFR conditions continue. && .CAE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... SC...None. GA...None. && $$