714
FNUS72 KCAE 051330
FWSCAE

Spot Forecast for Blacktop Cluster...SCHTP
National Weather Service Columbia SC
830 AM EST Wed Feb 5 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EST on February 05.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

.TODAY...
Cold front passing through the burn site early this morning, which
will bring northeast winds to the area and low clouds. Expect north
to northeast winds of 5-10 mph to continue through the day after the front
passes. In addition, the low clouds will increase mid to
late morning, then remain in place the rest of the day and
overnight. A slight chance of showers arrives this evening and
continues through much of the night, with rainfall amounts
expected to be less than 0.10". There is a small potential for fog
developing overnight. Whether or not fog develops, there is a
good chance (>50%) of low clouds.

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 8 mph becoming around 6
                    mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 12 mph shifting to the north 8 to 9
                    mph late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................8 to 21.

TIME (EST)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........81  79  79  74  75  71  77  79  82
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  10
Temp............51  54  57  60  62  64  64  64  62
RH..............89  80  72  65  63  56  59  56  59
Aparnt tmp (F)..51  54  57  60  62  64  64  64  62
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind dir..060 060 070 060 060 050 030 030 030
20 FT wind spd..8   7   7   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.12  10  12  12  10  10  10  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.3 1.4 1.6 1.9 1.9 2.0 2.0 1.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   NE  NE  N   N   N
Transp wind dir.080 090 080 090 050 030 020 010 020
Transp wind spd.12  10  12  9   8   7   7   8   9
LVORI...........4   3   3   3   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............16  16  21  19  15  17  18  20  18

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the evening, then chance
                    of rain showers in the late evening and
                    overnight.
Chance of pcpn......50 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 46.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 5 to 6 mph early in the evening
                    becoming light.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 2 to 10 mph.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................1 to 7.

TIME (EST)      6 PM   8 PM   10 PM  MIDNGT 2 AM   4 AM
Sky (%).........82     87     91     95     94     85
Weather cov.....S CHC  S CHC  CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20     20     30     50     40     30
Temp............58     53     51     49     46     46
RH..............66     77     80     86     93     93
Aparnt tmp (F)..58     53     51     49     46     46
20 FT wind......NE 6   NE 5   NE 3   NE 2   NE 2   NE 1
20 FT wind gust.10     10     6      3      3      2
20 FT wind dir..030    040    040    040    050    060
Mix hgt (ft)....400    500    700    900    600    500
Transp wind dir.020    020    040    030    050    070
Transport wind..N 10   N 10   NE 7   NE 5   NE 3   E 2
LVORI...........3      4      5      6      7      7
ADI.............7      7      3      2      2      1

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 75.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 9 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East around 2 mph shifting to the southwest 6
                    to 13 mph in the morning, then increasing to 15
                    to 18 mph in the afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................2 early in the morning increasing to 47 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EST)      6 AM      9 AM      NOON      3 PM
Sky (%).........69        38        31        22
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20        10        10        10
Temp............46        54        68        75
RH..............93        96        68        54
Aparnt tmp (F)..46        54        68        75
20 FT wind......SE 1      SW 3G9    SW 8G16   SW 9G18
20 FT wind dir..130       220       220       230
Mix hgt (ft)....400       900       1700      2000
Transp wind dir.110       210       240       240
Transport wind..E 2       SW 9      SW 16     SW 18
LVORI...........6         6         3         1
ADI.............2         11        35        46

$$
Forecaster...Petrolito
Requested by...Johnny Stowe
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2502318.0/CAE
.DELDT 02/05/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL stowej@dnr.sc.gov,lutzs@dnr.sc.gov