Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
214 FXUS61 KCAR 150545 AFDCAR Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Caribou ME 145 AM EDT Tue Sep 15 2026 .WHAT HAS CHANGED... -Cancelled the frost advisory as temperatures drop very slowly tonight across the north. && .KEY MESSAGES... 1) Chance for rain showers by late next week, though little to no drought improvement anticipated. && .DISCUSSION... KEY MESSAGE 1...Chance for rain showers by late next week, though little to no drought improvement anticipated. KEY MESSAGE 1 DESCRIPTION... A low pressure system to the far north moves eastward, pushing a front through New England late next week. Ensemble models have slowed the progression of the front with more members leaning towards Thursday evening and Thursday night for rain. Upper air model soundings indicate a large dry airmass ahead of the front. This coupled with the decreasing intensity of the front, rain showers look to be minimal, especially for the north. Cannot rule out some scattered rain showers across the south. && .AVIATION /06Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... Today: VFR. Light and variable winds, becoming S by later this evening at 5 to 10 kts. Tuesday night-Wednesday: Generally VFR. Chance for fog at KBHB early Wednesday morning. LLWS possible late Tuesday night. S winds Tuesday night, becoming SW on Wednesday, with gusts 15-20 kts possible. Wednesday night-Thursday: VFR, except for IFR or lower possible in patchy fog late Wednesday night/early Thursday morning. Light and variable winds. Thursday Night: MVFR or lower possible in patchy fog and rain showers. Light and variable winds. Friday-Saturday: VFR. NW winds G15-25KT possible Friday. && .MARINE... Below SCA criteria through Saturday with gusts below 20 kts and seas 2 to 4 ft. Winds from the N today, shifting S/SW tonight into Wednesday. && .CAR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... ME...None. MARINE...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...ASB/JMM AVIATION...ASB/JMM