Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
Issued by NWS Caribou, ME
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FNUS71 KCAR 111149
FWSCAR
Spot Forecast for E Smith Brook Road Fire...Maine Forest Service
National Weather Service Caribou ME
749 AM EDT Wed Jun 11 2025
Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 EDT on June 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.
Please contact NWS Caribou at 207-492-0166 with any further questions.
.DISCUSSION...
Winds will be breezy today and out of the west in the wake of a
cold front that has passed to the east. In combination with mostly
clear skies throughout the day this should lead to a decrease in
relative humidity down to the 40s but has the potential to drop
lower if clouds remain free of the area. The chance for a
thunderstorm remains unlikely but an isolated storm cannot be
completely ruled in the late afternoon.
Weather Coverage Abbreviations... SCH=Slight Chance, ISO=Isolated,
CHC=Chance, SCT=Scattered, LKY=Likely, NUM=Numerous,
DEF=Definite, WID=Widespread, OCL=Occasional, PDS=Periods,
ARS=Areas, PTY=Patchy
Weather Type Abbreviations... DYT=Dry Thunderstorms, TSM=Thunderstorms,
SN=Snow, RN=Rain, SW=Snow Showers, RW=Rain Showers,
DZL=Drizzle, FZR=Freezing Rain, FZD=Freezing Drizzle, SLT=Sleet,
FZF=Freezing Fog, IFG=Ice Fog, HAZ=Haze, BSN=Blowing Snow,
SMK=Smoke, FST=Frost, FZS=Freezing Spray, RS=Rain/Snow,
DZF=Drizzle/Fog, SNF=Snow/Fog, RNF=Rain/Fog,
ZRS=Freezing Rain/Snow
Other Abbreviations... NA=Not Available, M=Missing
.REST OF TODAY...
Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
CWR.................10 percent.
Chance of thunder...12 percent.
Min humidity........48 percent.
Wind chill..........59.
Eye level winds.....West winds 7 to 10 mph with gusts to around 18
mph.
Wind shift..........
Mixing height.......5500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 24 to 29 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (50000 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (138300 knot-ft) in the
afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................73 to 82 increasing to 92 to 95 late in the
morning, then increasing to 105 early in the
afternoon decreasing to 88 late in the
afternoon increasing to 105.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Visibility..........10.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 9 to 13 mph with gusts to around 24
mph.
TIME (EDT) 4 AM 8 AM NOON
Sky (%).........39 44 50
Weather cov.....
Weather type....NONE NONE NONE
Tstm cov........
CWR.............0 0 10
Chc of thdr (%).0 0 10
Temp............59 70 73
RH..............80 55 48
Wind chill (F)..59 70 73
20 FT wind......W 11G20 W 12G22 W 10G22
Eye level wind..W 8G15 W 9G17 W 8G17
Mix hgt (ft)....2400 4800 5100
Transport wind..W 24 W 28 W 28
LVORI...........3 1 1
ADI.............73 105 105
Vrate kt-ft/1K..50 116 123
Ventrate Cat....FAIR VYGD VYGD
Visibility (sm).10 10 10
.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Rain showers
likely and isolated thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................10 percent increasing to 20 percent overnight,
then increasing to 40 percent overnight
increasing to 60 percent overnight decreasing
to 40 percent.
Chance of thunder...17 percent.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind chill..........55.
Eye level winds.....West winds up to 6 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
early in the evening then 20 mph early in the
morning.
Wind shift..........
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 14 to 22 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Good (57700 knot-ft) early in the evening
decreasing to poor (12500 knot-ft) late in the
night.
LVORI...............3 in the evening and overnight.
ADI.................105 decreasing to 8 to 15.
Pcpn amount.........0.04 inches.
Visibility..........9 decreasing to 7 overnight, then decreasing to
5 overnight increasing to 7 after 3 am.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusts up to 21 mph
early in the evening then 20 mph early in the
morning. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms overnight.
TIME (EDT) 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM 6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM
Sky (%).........49 43 40 44 42 43 52 59 71 77 73 77
Weather cov..... ISO SCT LKY LKY SCT SCT
Weather type.... RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ ISO ISO ISO
CWR.............10 10 10 10 10 10 20 40 60 60 40 40
Chc of thdr (%).10 10 0 0 0 10 10 10 20 20 20 10
Temp............70 67 64 62 61 60 58 58 57 57 56 55
RH..............55 61 70 72 75 78 80 80 83 86 86 93
Wind chill (F)..70 67 64 62 61 60 58 58 57 57 56 55
20 FT wind dir..W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
20 FT wind spd..8 8 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 6 7 8
20 FT wind gust.17 17 13 13 11 11 11 11 13 13 14 16
Eye lvl wnd dir.W W W W SW SW SW SW SW SW W W
Eye lvl wnd spd.6 6 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 4 5 6
Eye lvl wnd gst.13 13 10 10 8 8 8 8 10 10 10 12
Mix hgt (kft)...3.0 1.8 1.3 1.1 1.1 1.3 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.0 1.0 1.1
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W W W W W W W
Transp wind spd.22 22 16 16 16 15 16 14 15 16 14 15
LVORI...........1 1 3 3 3 3 4 4 M M M M
ADI.............105 61 8 15 11 11 12 11 M M M M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..58 34 18 16 15 17 16 15 15 14 13 14
Ventrate Cat....FR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR PR
Visibility (sm).10 10 10 10 10 10 9 7 5 5 7 7
.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Chance of rain
showers in the morning. Slight chance of
thunderstorms through the day. Rain showers
likely in the afternoon.
CWR.................20 percent decreasing to 10 percent early in
the morning, then increasing to 20 percent
early in the morning increasing to 30 percent
late in the morning increasing to 40 percent
increasing to 50 percent early in the afternoon
increasing to 60 percent decreasing to 50
percent early in the afternoon decreasing to 40
percent decreasing to 30 percent late in the
afternoon.
Chance of thunder...22 percent.
Min humidity........50 percent.
Wind chill..........54.
Eye level winds.....Northwest winds 6 to 9 mph with gusts to around
17 mph.
Wind shift..........
Mixing height.......6100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West 17 to 24 mph shifting to the northwest 28
to 31 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (18000 knot-ft) early in the morning
increasing to excellent (110000 knot-ft) in the
afternoon increasing to excellent (117200
knot-ft) late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............MISSING.
ADI.................MISSING.
Pcpn amount.........0.11 inches.
Visibility..........9 decreasing to 7 late in the morning, then
decreasing to 5 early in the afternoon
increasing to 7 late in the afternoon.
Max temperature.....Around 65.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 8 to 12 mph with gusts to around 22
mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
thunderstorms late in the morning.
TIME (EDT) 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM
Sky (%).........70 62 66 69 70 71 68 70 66 62 60 59
Weather cov.....ISO SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW RW
Tstm cov........ SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
CWR.............20 10 20 20 30 40 50 60 50 40 40 30
Chc of thdr (%).10 10 10 10 10 20 20 20 20 20 20 20
Temp............54 55 58 60 62 62 64 64 65 65 65 64
RH..............93 93 80 75 65 65 58 58 54 52 50 52
Wind chill (F)..54 55 58 60 62 62 64 64 65 65 65 64
20 FT wind dir..W W W W W W W W W W W NW
20 FT wind spd..8 8 9 10 10 11 11 12 12 11 11 10
20 FT wind gust.16 16 18 18 19 21 21 22 22 21 21 19
Eye lvl wnd dir.W W W W W W W W W W W NW
Eye lvl wnd spd.6 6 7 8 8 8 8 9 9 8 8 8
Eye lvl wnd gst.12 12 13 14 14 16 16 17 17 16 16 14
Mix hgt (kft)...1.2 2.0 2.5 3.6 4.5 4.5 3.7 3.4 4.6 6.1 5.9 4.7
Transp wind dir.W W W W W W NW W W NW NW NW
Transp wind spd.17 21 21 23 23 23 24 24 28 31 31 29
LVORI...........M M M M M M M M M M M M
ADI.............M M M M M M M M M M M M
Vrate kt-ft/1K..18 35 44 72 89 90 78 71 110 165 160 117
Ventrate Cat....PR PR FR GD GD GD GD GD VGD EXL EXL VGD
Visibility (sm).9 10 9 9 7 7 7 5 7 7 7 7
$$
Forecaster...MELANSON
Requested by...Keith Draper
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2515753.0/CAR
.DELDT 06/11/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Keith.draper@maine.gov