241
FXUS61 KCLE 291127
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
727 AM EDT Fri Aug 29 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds across the Great Lakes region on Friday
and will persist through early next week. Next cold front
arrives mid to late week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Upper level low slowly meanders from southern Quebec into northern
Maine during the near term with a cold front pretty much clear of
the eastern zones of the CWA. Bulk of the showers/storms are
finished for the overnight less a few isolated post frontal showers
over NW PA/NE OH. This cold front is a reinforcement of the cooler
airmass that has been dominating the sensible weather for the region
for several days now as northerly flow keeps the region below
normal. High pressure will be building into the southern Great Lakes
in the wake of this cold front. Despite weak PVA aloft tonight, the
forecast will be dry through Saturday. High temperatures today
likely to be in the 60s for the large majority of the CWA, with only
the far southwestern zones poised to reach the 70F mark. Tonight will
be the coldest night of the 7 day forecast with widespread 40s and
hanging onto the 50s along the immediate lakeshore areas. Slight
improvement from airmass modification/insolation for Saturday with
upper 60s to lower 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Quiet weather in the near term portion of the forecast with high
pressure continuing to control the conditions across the region.
Expecting only very modest 500mb height and 850mb temperature
recoveries, but the solar radiation persists and temperatures
slowly climb into the upper 70s by Monday. Dry.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Decaying upper trough axis moving from the lower Mississippi Valley
into the middle Ohio Valley along with a weakening surface low will
bring the next chances for rain across the area Wednesday into
Wednesday night. In the meantime, yet another closed upper low will
dive southward through the Canadian Prairies into northern plains
region with the next vigorous cold front charging through Thursday,
signaling another cool down for the CWA.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/...
There are a few patchy areas of MVFR ceilings across the region
that will persist through the mid morning until drier low level
air moves in with the high pressure. The remainder of the day
will see VFR conditions with a scattered deck around 035-050.
There`s potential overnight tonight into Saturday morning of
non-VFR visibility with patchy fog for the inland terminals given
the rain from yesterday. Added in a TEMPO group for KCAK and
KYNG to account for this.

Winds across the region will continue to be light over night
around 5 knots and predominately out of the north. There will be
a slight increase up to 10 knots throughout the day before
becoming light and variable after sunset.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible in areas of fog and low stratus
Friday night into early Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
The Small Craft Advisory and Beach Hazards have been extended until
10AM this morning for Vermilion to Avon Point as winds and
waves have stayed elevated. All other areas have been allowed to
expire. Afterwards, there will be choppy conditions across Lake
Erie through Friday morning with a cold front departs to the
east. Waves will be 10-15 knots across from the Islands eastward
and around 10 knots to the west of the Islands. There will be
low chance of waterspouts from Conneaut eastward Friday
afternoon into the evening. High pressure will build in
throughout today with winds and waves diminishing to around 10
knots out of the north across the lake. Through the weekend,
winds will be fairly light and variable at less than 10 knots.
By Monday morning, high pressure will build off to the east of
the region and winds will become predominately out of the east
across the lake at less than 10 knots.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Beach Hazards Statement until 10 AM EDT this morning for
     OHZ010>012.
PA...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 10 AM EDT this morning for
     LEZ145>147.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...26
NEAR TERM...26
SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM...26
AVIATION...23
MARINE...23