622
FXUS61 KCLE 051127
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
727 AM EDT Sat Sep 5 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
The Severe Thunderstorm Watch has been canceled as of 6 AM. No
additional strong to severe storms are expected for the
remainder of today.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Thunderstorms (some strong to severe) will continue to move
southeast across the area over the next several hours, mainly
impacting locations on a line from Findlay to Mount Vernon.

2) Seasonable and dry weather is expected for much of the
holiday weekend. A brief period of unsettled weather may return
by mid- next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
The latest radar and satellite reveals an organized cluster of
strong to severe thunderstorms moving southeast along a narrow
instability gradient across portions of Northwest and North-
Central Ohio early this morning, supported by modest northwest
shear of 30 to 35 knots. Damaging wind gusts up to 60 mph remain
the primary concern with this area of convection as it exits
south and east of the area by around sunrise. A Severe
Thunderstorm Watch remains in effect for this area until 8 AM.

Otherwise, a cold front will move south through the area today,
ushering in a cooler and less humid air mass into the region.
This could result in some scattered showers or isolated
thunderstorms, though strong to severe storms are not expected.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
High pressure will begin to build south across the Great Lakes
late Saturday and persist into early next week. The latest
trends favor seasonable and mainly dry weather during this
timeframe with highs in the upper 70s to lower 80s and less
humidity.

Will then begin watching the next system by mid-next week as
another upper-level ridge builds east across the Central and
Eastern CONUS, followed by the passage of a strong upper-level
trough moving east through the Upper Great Lakes. Shower and
thunderstorms chances will increase beginning Wednesday
afternoon and evening, with the potential continuing into
Thursday, though uncertainty remains on storm coverage.

&&

.AVIATION /12Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/...
Low stratus gradually lifts to VFR through the afternoon hours
today, and will expect more isolated convection to fire after
16Z today. Chances too low for TEMPO or PROB30, but an AMD or
two may have to be utilized as storms form. As a cold front
continues to push south of the region, winds become N/NE with
gusts to 15kts possible.

Outlook...Non- VFR possible with isolated showers and
thunderstorms on Wednesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Waves increase in the wake of a cold front moving towards the
Ohio Valley today as high pressure moves in from the north as
northeast winds 10-20kts become dominant and heights 2-4ft this
weekend. Monday, winds ease but wave heights remain around 2ft.
Winds finally offshore Tuesday 5-10kts, and wave heights a foot
or less into Wednesday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Kahn
AVIATION...26
MARINE...26