


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Cleveland, OH
Issued by NWS Cleveland, OH
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163 FXUS61 KCLE 021815 AFDCLE Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 215 PM EDT Sat Aug 2 2025 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure over the Great Lakes region will remain in place through the weekend, moving east of the area early next week. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY NIGHT/... Quiet weather is expected for the near term period with surface high pressure persisting underneath weak upper-level troughing. Efficient radiative cooling will occur overnight, leading to another chilly morning on Sunday with low temperatures falling into the lower 50s. Seasonable highs in the lower 80s are expected for Sunday with comfortable dew points in the 50s. && .SHORT TERM /MONDAY THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT/... Quiet weather appears to persist through the short term period as the high pressure axis slowly shifts east towards New England by Tuesday underneath weak upper-level troughing. Only slight concern for any precipitation may be Tuesday night as a weakening mid- level shortwave tracks east through the Midwest. However, at this time, the influence of high pressure should favor a mainly dry forecast and limit any precipitation chances across the area. As the high pressure axis shifts east into New England, warm air advection will gradually increase across the region, resulting in the return of above-average temperatures with highs in the mid to upper 80s. && .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... A quiet weather pattern appears favored to continue for the long term period as high pressure strengthens across the Northeast and Eastern Great Lakes, amidst mainly weak, zonal flow aloft. Above- average temperatures appear to persist into the weekend with highs in the mid to upper 80s and perhaps touching the lower 90s by Saturday. Humidity will also increase accordingly, with dew points reaching the upper 60s to near 70 on Saturday. && .AVIATION /18Z Saturday THROUGH Thursday/... VFR and high pressure in place. Only official ceilings in this forecast is the BKN250 deck from a 500mb trough axis to the west, and a few flat cumulus formation below at FL050. Winds generally northeasterly at the surface around 10kts. Outlook...VFR is then expected to persist through Monday. Non- VFR is possible with showers and thunderstorms Tuesday into the middle of the week. && .MARINE... Likely to be in perpetual northeasterly winds 8-12kts or so due to the combination of the positioning of high pressure over the Great Lakes and lake breeze generation in the afternoon hours through Wednesday. This keeps wave heights around 1ft, mainly in the central basin, with less than a foot for the western and eastern basins. Periods of winds going calm or offshore possible during the overnight hours. && .CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...Kahn NEAR TERM...Kahn SHORT TERM...Kahn LONG TERM...Kahn AVIATION...26 MARINE...26