627
FXUS61 KCLE 280648
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
248 AM EDT Wed Oct 28 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes were made to the forecast.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Above normal temperatures and mainly dry weather continue
through Saturday, outside of any isolated rain showers Thursday
night. Rain chances return Sunday and into early next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

High pressure off the New England coast will allow for dry
weather to continue today into much of the day on Thursday.
Southerly return flow will allow for high temperatures to warm
into the 70s, well above normal for late October. High
temperatures may challenge record highs for Thursday, see
climate section below for more information.

A cold front will enter the region from the northwest Thursday
evening accompanied by weak forcing aloft. Latest hi-res
guidance has increased precipitation chances across Northwest
Ohio though the highest chances (40-60%) remain localized to
Northeast Ohio and Northwest Pennsylvania.

High pressure returns Friday into Saturday allowing for another
window of dry weather. Temperatures will be slightly cooler, but
remain above normal with highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s
and 50s.

The weather pattern takes a turn Sunday into next
week with rain chances returning Sunday. Rain chances look to
linger into next week.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Wednesday THROUGH Sunday/...
High pressure to the northeast will allow for VFR conditions to
continue. Some high clouds will continue through the region this
morning but will quickly fade today. East flow will be favored
overnight given the high pressure position. Winds will shift to
the south and southwest later today with the system moving
southeast through New England. With highs expected in the 70s
next to a 60 degree Lake Erie and a weak pressure gradient over
the region, a modified lake breeze may develop for KERI and KCLE
this afternoon.

Outlook...Non-VFR will be possible on Sunday with rain showers.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds remain offshore 5-10 knots through tonight, becoming light
and variable at times. Southerly to southwesterly winds will
increase to 10-15 knots tonight into Thursday before shifting
northwesterly to northerly behind a cold front Thursday
evening. Choppy conditions with waves 2-4 feet in the central
basin remain possible behind the frontal passage. High pressure
returns Friday and Saturday allowing for northerly to
northeasterly winds to remain 10 knots or less.

&&

.CLIMATE...
We are forecast to be within a few degrees of record warmth on
Thursday. Here are the record high temperatures for our six
climate sites on October 29th:

Date    Toledo     Mansfield   Cleveland   Akron      Youngstown  Erie
10-29   79(2024)   79(1922)    78(2024)    77(1900)   77(2024)    77(2024)

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...13
AVIATION...Sefcovic
MARINE...13