


Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Cleveland, OH
Issued by NWS Cleveland, OH
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361 FXUS61 KCLE 300915 AFDCLE Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Cleveland OH 515 AM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025 .SYNOPSIS... High pressure will prevail through early next week. Another strong cold front brings a cool down once again midweek. && .NEAR TERM /THROUGH SUNDAY/... Sig wx nil. High pressure has settled into the southern Great Lakes, reinforcing the cooler airmass that has been in control of the sensible weather for several days now. More upper 60s to lower 70s today in mainly clear skies with some daytime heating cumulus development. Mid/upper level cloud increases tonight with a trough axis dropping north to south into the CWA. Similar story for Sunday with temperatures increasing a small handful of degrees from Saturday due to airmass modification and continued insolation. && .SHORT TERM /SUNDAY NIGHT THROUGH TUESDAY/... Upper low stalls out over the mid Atlantic region, but with little fanfare for our as surface high pressure continues to prevail. Temperatures continue their slow moderation Monday into Tuesday where some lower 80s finally make an appearance again for the western zones of the CWA. High pressure drifts eastward to the New England while a trough of low pressure drifts northward into southern Ohio Tuesday. This will result in some cloud cover increases, but that will be about it as POPs stay south. && .LONG TERM /TUESDAY NIGHT THROUGH FRIDAY/... Upper trough axis swings into the middle Ohio Valley from the mid Mississippi Valley. POPs increase Wednesday with this feature and a surface trough ahead of a cold front that will push through Wednesday night. This cold front will be driven by yet another deep closed low aloft pushing into the Great Lakes. Gains in temperature prior to the cold front will be lost once again for the end of the week with temperatures back in the 60s. The long term will be the next chance for wetting rains across the CWA. && .AVIATION /06Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/... Light and variable winds are seen across the region as high pressure builds in from the west. A weak lake breeze should develop during the day Saturday impacting KCLE and KERI with north to northwesterly winds. There are a few lake effect clouds across northern Ohio and Pennsylvania that should dissipate through the overnight hours. Tomorrow, with generally northerly flow across the region, some lake effect cumulus clouds will develop throughout the day creating a scattered to broken ceiling around 050 impacting most terminals besides KTOL and KFDY. Early Saturday morning, localized fog is expected to form across central and eastern Ohio dropping conditions to non- VFR at times. After the fog dissipates by mid morning, VFR conditions are expected through the end of the TAF period. Outlook...Localized fog with non-VFR is possible around daybreak Sunday. Otherwise VFR are expected through this Tuesday. On Wednesday, isolated to scattered rain showers and thunderstorms with non-VFR should occur. && .MARINE... Conditions on Lake Erie will be quiet through the weekend as high pressure builds into the region. Winds will be northerly for the majority of the weekend before shifting to be easterly by Monday. A cold front will approach the region by mid week and winds will shift to be southerly to southeasterly at 10-15 knots by Tuesday into Wednesday. && .CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... OH...None. PA...None. MARINE...None. && $$ SYNOPSIS...26 NEAR TERM...26 SHORT TERM...26 LONG TERM...26 AVIATION...23 MARINE...23