471
FXUS61 KCLE 290748
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
348 AM EDT Fri Aug 29 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure builds across the Great Lakes region on Friday
and will persist through early next week. Next cold front
arrives mid to late week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH SATURDAY/...
Upper level low slowly meanders from southern Quebec into northern
Maine during the near term with a cold front pretty much clear of
the eastern zones of the CWA. Bulk of the showers/storms are
finished for the overnight less a few isolated post frontal showers
over NW PA/NE OH. This cold front is a reinforcement of the cooler
airmass that has been dominating the sensible weather for the region
for several days now as northerly flow keeps the region below
normal. High pressure will be building into the southern Great Lakes
in the wake of this cold front. Despite weak PVA aloft tonight, the
forecast will be dry through Saturday. High temperatures today
likely to be in the 60s for the large majority of the CWA, with only
the far southwestern zones poised to reach the 70F mark. Tonight will
be the coldest night of the 7 day forecast with widespread 40s and
hanging onto the 50s along the immediate lakeshore areas. Slight
improvement from airmass modification/insolation for Saturday with
upper 60s to lower 70s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /SATURDAY NIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Quiet weather in the near term portion of the forecast with high
pressure continuing to control the conditions across the region.
Expecting only very modest 500mb height and 850mb temperature
recoveries, but the solar radiation persists and temperatures
slowly climb into the upper 70s by Monday. Dry.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Decaying upper trough axis moving from the lower Mississippi Valley
into the middle Ohio Valley along with a weakening surface low will
bring the next chances for rain across the area Wednesday into
Wednesday night. In the meantime, yet another closed upper low will
dive southward through the Canadian Prairies into northern plains
region with the next vigorous cold front charging through Thursday,
signaling another cool down for the CWA.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/...
Showers and mist continue to move east through eastern Ohio
bringing ceilings down to MVFR and LIFR conditions. As the
front moves east, the showers should end and ceilings will rise.
Behind the front, there will be VFR conditions for the majority
of the TAF period. There is potential in scattered MVFR
conditions overnight across western Ohio and the inland
terminals. Can`t rule out any patchy fog across the inland
terminals from KMFD, but confidence is low in any impact to TAF
sites. Any non-VFR conditions should clear out by the morning
around 12Z. High pressure will build in throughout the day on
Friday with little impacts to terminals expected.

Winds across the region will be light over night around 5 knots
and predominately out of the north. There will be a slight
increase during the day Friday with winds 5-10 knots before
becoming light and variable after sunset.

Outlook...Non-VFR possible in areas of fog and low stratus
Friday night into early Saturday.

&&

.MARINE...
The Small Craft Advisory and Beach Hazards have been extended until
7AM this morning as winds and waves have stayed elevated.
Afterwards, there will be choppy conditions across Lake Erie through
Friday morning with a cold front departs to the east. Waves will be
10-15 knots across from the Islands eastward and around 10 knots to
the west of the Islands. There will be low chance of waterspouts
from Conneaut eastward Friday afternoon into the evening. High
pressure will build in throughout today with winds and waves
diminishing to around 10 knots out of the north across the lake.
Through the weekend, winds will be fairly light and variable at less
than 10 knots. By Monday morning, high pressure will build off to
the east of the region and winds will become predominately out of
the east across the lake at less than 10 knots.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...Beach Hazards Statement until 7 AM EDT this morning for
     OHZ010>012-089.
PA...Beach Hazards Statement until 7 AM EDT this morning for PAZ001.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory until 7 AM EDT this morning for
     LEZ144>149.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...26
NEAR TERM...26
SHORT TERM...26
LONG TERM...26
AVIATION...23
MARINE...23