368
FXUS61 KCLE 300534
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
134 AM EDT Sat Aug 30 2025

.SYNOPSIS...
High pressure will continue to build across the Great Lakes region
through the weekend before building east towards the Northeast early
next week. Low pressure will drag a cold front east across the
region towards the end of next week.

&&

.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TODAY/...
Cool and quiet weather expected as an upper-level low lingers
over Quebec while high pressure builds over the Great Lakes at
the surface. Chilly tonight with overnight lows dropping into
the mid 40s areawide. Can`t rule out some overnight lows dipping
near or below 40 degrees across sheltered valleys and typically
cooler areas. A weak synoptic MSLP gradient accompanying the
surface ridge and sufficient nocturnal cooling of surface air
over land surrounding ~72F Lake Erie will permit land breeze
development after midnight tonight and especially around
daybreak Saturday. Localized river valley steam fog formation is
expected and patchy radiation fog formation is possible after
midnight tonight, especially along and east of I-71. Fog will
dissipate by mid-morning, following the onset of diurnal
convective mixing of the boundary layer. Dry weather continues
Saturday with high temperatures in the upper 60s to lower 70s.
Lows on Saturday night will settle in the mid to upper 40s.

&&

.SHORT TERM /TONIGHT THROUGH MONDAY NIGHT/...
Surface high pressure builds towards the Northeast through the short
term with continued dry weather expected. Temperatures will rise a
few degrees through the forecast period as the high builds east.
Highs in the low to mid 70s Sunday will climb into the upper 70s by
Monday.

&&

.LONG TERM /TUESDAY THROUGH FRIDAY/...
Surface high pressure continues to build east out of the Great
Lakes region early next week. Rain chances return to the region
mid-week as low pressure approaches from the west. The low will
drag a cold front east across the local area on Thursday with
another round of chilly temperatures expected behind the front.
High temperatures in the upper 70s to near 80 degrees Tuesday
afternoon will fall into the mid 60s by Thursday.

&&

.AVIATION /06Z Saturday THROUGH Wednesday/...
Light and variable winds are seen across the region as high
pressure builds in from the west. A weak lake breeze should
develop during the day Saturday impacting KCLE and KERI with
north to northwesterly winds. There are a few lake effect
clouds across northern Ohio and Pennsylvania that should
dissipate through the overnight hours. Tomorrow, with generally
northerly flow across the region, some lake effect cumulus
clouds will develop throughout the day creating a scattered to
broken ceiling around 050 impacting most terminals besides KTOL
and KFDY. Early Saturday morning, localized fog is expected to
form across central and eastern Ohio dropping conditions to non-
VFR at times. After the fog dissipates by mid morning, VFR
conditions are expected through the end of the TAF period.

Outlook...Localized fog with non-VFR is possible around
daybreak Sunday. Otherwise VFR are expected through this
Tuesday. On Wednesday, isolated to scattered rain showers and
thunderstorms with non-VFR should occur.

&&

.MARINE...
While a waterspout cannot be completely ruled out this evening
as a weak surface trough drops across Lake Erie, the concern is
fairly low overall given a relatively dry airmass and shallow
convective cloud depths. Otherwise, marine conditions will be
fairly tranquil for the foreseeable future with high pressure
building in tonight and remaining the primary weather feature
controlling our wind speed/direction through the first half of
next week. Northerly winds through tonight will shift more east
to northeast Saturday through Monday, then southeast Tuesday and
Wednesday. Speeds will generally be <15kt the next several days.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

SYNOPSIS...13
NEAR TERM...13/Jaszka
SHORT TERM...13
LONG TERM...13
AVIATION...23
MARINE...Sullivan