358
FXUS61 KCLE 291953
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
353 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes were made to the forecast.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Brief, scattered rain showers are expected tonight, followed
by quiet and near-normal temperatures Friday and Saturday.

2) Scattered rain showers are expected next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A cold front accompanied by rain showers will move southeast
across the area late this evening through tonight. It`ll be a
short window (generally between 22-05Z), with showers lasting
no long er than an hour or two at any given location. Thunder is
unlikely but can`t be ruled out in the Toledo area and then
along the lakeshore, with a brief gust of wind mainly near the
lakeshore.

Dry weather returns Friday and Saturday as high pressure build
back in across the region. Slightly cooler, albeit still above
normal, with highs in the 60s Friday and Saturday behind the
cold front. Chilly overnight lows Friday night in the 40s for
most and the low to mid 30s in the higher terrain of Northwest
Pennsylvania.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
As high pressure departs to the east, isolated, light rain
showers may accompany a warm front Sunday night into Monday. Low
pressure and an upper-level low will build into the region
through midweek, with rain shower chances increase Monday night
onward. Above normal temperatures will remain in place, and in
fact will be well above normal Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z Thursday THROUGH Tuesday/...
VFR across the TAF sites this afternoon with isolated non-VFR
conditions possible along and behind a cold front tonight into
Friday morning, mainly at CLE/YNG/ERI with rain showers/low
ceilings. Some isolated thunder is possible this evening along
the front, particularly at TOL/CLE/ERI, though low confidence in
coverage precludes mention.

Winds are gusty out of the southwest this afternoon, 10 to 12
knots with periodic gusts of 20 to 22 knots. Winds will shift
towards the west and northwest, then north behind the cold front
late tonight into Friday, 7 to 9 knots.

Outlook...Apart from low rain chances Monday into Tuesday,
mainly VFR expected through Tuesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds will become northwest this evening into tonight behind a
cold front. Choppy conditions with waves 2-4 feet in the
central basin remain possible behind the frontal passage through
early Friday morning. As high pressure departs to the east,
light easterly winds (less than 10 knots) are expected Friday
night into Saturday, becoming southeast on Sunday.

&&

.CLIMATE...
We are forecast to be within a few degrees of record warmth
today. Here are the record high temperatures for our six
climate sites on October 29th:

Date    Toledo     Mansfield   Cleveland   Akron      Youngstown  Erie
10-29   79(2024)   79(1922)    78(2024)    77(1900)   77(2024)    77(2024)

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Saunders
AVIATION...Kahn
MARINE...Saunders