566
FXUS61 KCLE 292321
AFDCLE

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Cleveland OH
721 PM EDT Thu Oct 29 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes were made to the forecast.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Brief, scattered rain showers are expected tonight, followed
by quiet and near-normal temperatures Friday and Saturday.

2) Scattered rain showers are expected next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...
A cold front accompanied by rain showers will move southeast
across the area late this evening through tonight. It`ll be a
short window (generally between 22-05Z), with showers lasting
no long er than an hour or two at any given location. Thunder is
unlikely but can`t be ruled out in the Toledo area and then
along the lakeshore, with a brief gust of wind mainly near the
lakeshore.

Dry weather returns Friday and Saturday as high pressure build
back in across the region. Slightly cooler, albeit still above
normal, with highs in the 60s Friday and Saturday behind the
cold front. Chilly overnight lows Friday night in the 40s for
most and the low to mid 30s in the higher terrain of Northwest
Pennsylvania.

KEY MESSAGE 2...
As high pressure departs to the east, isolated, light rain
showers may accompany a warm front Sunday night into Monday. Low
pressure and an upper-level low will build into the region
through midweek, with rain shower chances increase Monday night
onward. Above normal temperatures will remain in place, and in
fact will be well above normal Tuesday and Wednesday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z Friday THROUGH Tuesday/...
VFR across the TAF sites this evening with mainly VFR to persist
through the TAF period. The latest radar reveals a line of rain
showers moving east through the area this evening ahead of an
approaching cold front. Light rain and/or virga is associated
with much of this activity, though some better returns and
perhaps a more steady rain is possible over the next couple of
hours out east, primarily impacting ERI with MVFR or brief IFR
vsbys. Low ceilings may linger behind the front into Friday
morning at ERI and potentially YNG before improving to VFR by
late morning or early afternoon.

Winds are shifting towards the west behind the cold front, 7 to
10 knots, while winds ahead of the front remain out of the
southwest, 7 to 10 knots. Winds will continue to shift towards
the west, then north behind the front overnight into Friday, 7
to 9 knots.

Outlook...Apart from low rain chances Monday into Tuesday,
mainly VFR expected through Tuesday.

&&

.MARINE...
Winds will become northwest this evening into tonight behind a
cold front. Choppy conditions with waves 2-4 feet in the
central basin remain possible behind the frontal passage through
early Friday morning. As high pressure departs to the east,
light easterly winds (less than 10 knots) are expected Friday
night into Saturday, becoming southeast on Sunday.

&&

.CLE WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
OH...None.
PA...None.
MARINE...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...Saunders
AVIATION...Kahn
MARINE...Saunders