Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
410
FOPA12 PHFO 211416
PWSCP2
HURRICANE LALA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC FRI AUG 21 2026
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 170.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85
KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
30N 170W 34 89 6(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95) X(95)
30N 170W 50 5 11(16) 1(17) X(17) X(17) X(17) X(17)
30N 170W 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
35N 170W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
MARO REEF 34 25 X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25) X(25)
30N 175W 34 X 4( 4) 5( 9) 1(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12)
35N 175W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 8(10) 29(39) 11(50) 1(51)
35N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7) 5(12) 1(13)
35N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3)
LAYSAN 34 75 X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/CANGIALOSI