Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS

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HURRICANE LALA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  37
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC FRI AUG 21 2026

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 27.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 170.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85
KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

30N 170W       34 89   6(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)
30N 170W       50  5  11(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
30N 170W       64  X   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

35N 170W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)

MARO REEF      34 25   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)

30N 175W       34  X   4( 4)   5( 9)   1(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)

35N 175W       34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   8(10)  29(39)  11(50)   1(51)
35N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   5(12)   1(13)
35N 175W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)

LAYSAN         34 75   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)   X(75)

$$
FORECASTER MAHONEY/CANGIALOSI