Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
405
FOPA12 PHFO 022034
PWSCP2
HURRICANE NOLO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 49
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP152026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC FRI OCT 02 2026
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE NOLO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.3
NORTH...LONGITUDE 167.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 65
KTS...75 MPH...120 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE 18Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
FR FRIG SHOALS 34 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
GARDNER PINN 34 7 X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
25N 170W 34 5 21(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26) X(26)
MARO REEF 34 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) 48(48) 2(50) X(50) X(50) X(50)
25N 175W 50 X X( X) 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
25N 175W 64 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LAYSAN 34 X 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
LISIANSKI 34 X X( X) 4( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER BERG