Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
012
FOPA12 PHFO 160253
PWSCP2
HURRICANE LALA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC SUN AUG 16 2026
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 156.0 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 70
KTS...80 MPH...130 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
20N 154W 34 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
HILO 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BRADSHAW AAF 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
18N 156W 34 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
18N 156W 50 3 X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
SOUTH POINT 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
SOUTH POINT 50 98 X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
SOUTH POINT 64 12 X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
21N 156W 34 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
KAILUA-KONA 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
KAILUA-KONA 50 9 X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
KAHULUI 34 59 X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59) X(59)
21N 158W 34 38 32(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
BARKING SANDS 34 X 7( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
HANA 34 X 72(72) 3(75) X(75) X(75) X(75) X(75)
HANA 50 X 14(14) 1(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
HANA 64 X 2( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
LANAI CITY 34 79 2(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81) X(81)
KAUNAKAKAI 34 43 4(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47) X(47)
HONOLULU 34 13 24(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37) X(37)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 12 24(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36) X(36)
LIHUE 34 X 8( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
20N 160W 34 X 66(66) 2(68) X(68) X(68) X(68) X(68)
20N 160W 50 X 19(19) 1(20) X(20) X(20) X(20) X(20)
20N 160W 64 X 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
NIIHAU 34 X 10(10) 2(12) X(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
21N 160W 34 X 61(61) 3(64) X(64) X(64) X(64) X(64)
21N 160W 50 X 7( 7) 1( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
BUOY 51003 34 X 7( 7) 4(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
22N 164W 34 X X( X) 4( 4) 8(12) 1(13) X(13) X(13)
20N 165W 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 32(34) 9(43) X(43) X(43)
20N 165W 50 X X( X) X( X) 9( 9) 6(15) X(15) X(15)
20N 165W 64 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
20N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 27(27) 19(46) 1(47)
20N 170W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 9(15) 1(16)
20N 170W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) X( 4)
25N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
MARO REEF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 2( 4)
20N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 7(11)
25N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 25(28)
25N 175W 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 7( 7)
25N 175W 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
LAYSAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5)
LISIANSKI 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
PEARL/HERMES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
$$
FORECASTER GIBBS