Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS

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FOPA12 PHFO 210852
PWSCP2

HURRICANE LALA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  36
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP012026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC FRI AUG 21 2026

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LALA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 26.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 171.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR 85
KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

30N 170W       34 21  60(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)
30N 170W       50  X   8( 8)   1( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
30N 170W       64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

MARO REEF      34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)

30N 175W       34  X   3( 3)   7(10)   3(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)

35N 175W       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)  24(31)  10(41)   1(42)
35N 175W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)   1( 9)
35N 175W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)

LAYSAN         34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
LAYSAN         50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
LAYSAN         64 92   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)

$$
FORECASTER BERG