830
WTPA22 PHFO 301457
TCMCP2

TROPICAL STORM NOLO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP152026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1500 UTC WED SEP 30 2026

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 165.0W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-SOUTHWEST OR 250 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  991 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.
34 KT.......110NE  70SE  60SW 100NW.
4 M SEAS....150NE 120SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.0N 165.0W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.2N 164.8W

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 22.1N 165.2W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 22.1N 165.7W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  10SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 22.2N 166.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  10SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 22.6N 167.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 22.9N 168.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 23.1N 170.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE  90SE  70SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 24.0N 176.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 110SE  80SW 130NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 25.7N 176.6E
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE  80SW 130NW.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.0N 165.0W

INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 PHFO/HFOTCPCP2...AT 30/1800Z

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ADAMS