106
WTPA32 PHFO 031436
TCPCP2

BULLETIN
Hurricane Nolo Advisory Number  52
NWS Central Pacific Hurricane Center Honolulu HI   EP152026
Issued by NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
500 AM HST Sat Oct 03 2026

...NOLO EXPECTED TO BECOME A MAJOR HURRICANE LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.1N 171.2W
ABOUT 160 MI...255 KM SSW OF MARO REEF
ABOUT 270 MI...435 KM SE OF LISIANSKI ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...963 MB...28.44 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning has been discontinued for the
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument east of Maro Reef.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* The Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument from Maro Reef to
Lisianski Island

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area, in this case within the
next 12 to 24 hours.

Interests elsewhere within the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National
Monument west of Lisianski Island should monitor the progress of
Nolo.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Nolo was located
near latitude 23.1 North, longitude 171.2 West. A mainly westward
motion with an additional increase in forward speed is expected
during the next few days. On the forecast track, the center of Nolo
will continue to move through the Papahanaumokuakea Marine National
Monument but remain just south of the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands
west of Maro Reef. Nolo is expected to cross the International Date
Line by Sunday midday Hawaiian Time.

Maximum sustained winds are near 110 mph (175 km/h) with higher
gusts.  Strengthening is forecast during the next day or two, and
Nolo is expected to become a major hurricane later today. Gradual
weakening is likely to begin on Monday.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 30 miles (45 km) from the
center and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 150 miles
(240 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 963 mb (28.44 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND: Tropical storm conditions will continue within the Tropical
Storm Warning area from Maro Reef to Lisianski Island through today.

SURF: Large waves associated with Nolo will continue to affect the
Papahanaumokuakea Marine National Monument over the next several
days. The surf will likely inundate some of the low-lying atolls
from Maro Reef to Lisianski Island. Please consult products from
your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 800 AM HST.
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST.

$$
Forecaster Berg