Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS

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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   CP022026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0900 UTC FRI AUG 21 2026

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-C WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 145.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

15N 150W       34  X   1( 1)  47(48)   2(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
15N 150W       50  X   X( X)  10(10)   2(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
15N 150W       64  X   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

BUOY 51004     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

15N 155W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)

18N 156W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)

BUOY 51002     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  29(29)   2(31)   X(31)
BUOY 51002     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
BUOY 51002     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)

15N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)

BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)

20N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

20N 170W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)

$$
FORECASTER EVANS/GIBBS