Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
203
FOPA14 PHFO 080243
PWSCP4
HURRICANE LOWELL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 48
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI EP122026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
0300 UTC TUE SEP 08 2026
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LOWELL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 161.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
95 KTS...110 MPH...175 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
21N 158W 34 5 X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
BARKING SANDS 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BARKING SANDS 50 88 X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88) X(88)
BARKING SANDS 64 18 X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18) X(18)
HONOLULU 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
JOINT BASE PHH 34 8 X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
26N 159W 34 X 53(53) 3(56) X(56) X(56) X(56) X(56)
26N 159W 50 X 5( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
LIHUE 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
LIHUE 50 27 X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27) X(27)
LIHUE 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
20N 160W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
20N 160W 50 61 X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61) X(61)
20N 160W 64 1 X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
25N 160W 34 35 63(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98) X(98)
25N 160W 50 X 69(69) 1(70) X(70) X(70) X(70) X(70)
25N 160W 64 X 20(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21) X(21) X(21)
30N 160W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
NIIHAU 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NIIHAU 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
NIIHAU 64 60 X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
21N 160W 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
21N 160W 50 92 X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92) X(92)
21N 160W 64 11 X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11) X(11)
BUOY 51003 34 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BUOY 51003 50 99 X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99) X(99)
BUOY 51003 64 22 X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22) X(22)
NIHOA 34 97 X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97) X(97)
NIHOA 50 13 2(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15) X(15)
NIHOA 64 1 1( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2) X( 2)
BUOY 51101 34 40 27(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67) X(67)
30N 165W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 8( 9) 11(20) X(20) X(20)
30N 170W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 3( 6) 6(12)
MARO REEF 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
30N 175W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3)
LAYSAN 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4)
$$
FORECASTER PAPIN