Tropical Cyclone Probabilities
Issued by NWS

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HURRICANE LOWELL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  30
NWS CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER HONOLULU HI   EP122026
ISSUED BY NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
2100 UTC THU SEP 03 2026

AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE LOWELL WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
13.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 158.1 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
120 KTS...140 MPH...220 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   PACIFIC  DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

21N 158W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)

BARKING SANDS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  39(48)
BARKING SANDS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)
BARKING SANDS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   8( 9)

LANAI CITY     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)

KAUNAKAKAI     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)

HONOLULU       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)

JOINT BASE PHH 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)

26N 159W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)
26N 159W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
26N 159W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

LIHUE          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  28(35)
LIHUE          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)
LIHUE          64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

15N 160W       34 27  47(74)   3(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)   X(77)
15N 160W       50  X   7( 7)   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
15N 160W       64  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

20N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  28(28)  17(45)
20N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   9(17)
20N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   6( 9)

25N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  47(47)
25N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)
25N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)

30N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)

NIIHAU         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  43(56)
NIIHAU         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  23(25)
NIIHAU         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  13(14)

21N 160W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)  30(51)
21N 160W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  16(21)
21N 160W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   9(11)

BUOY 51003     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  50(50)   9(59)
BUOY 51003     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)   9(28)
BUOY 51003     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   5(15)

NIHOA          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  67(74)
NIHOA          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  45(45)
NIHOA          64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  26(26)

BUOY 51101     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  62(63)
BUOY 51101     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  34(34)
BUOY 51101     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)

22N 164W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  27(35)
22N 164W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  11(12)
22N 164W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)

NECKER         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)
NECKER         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)
NECKER         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)

15N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)  44(56)   2(58)   X(58)
15N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  19(21)   2(23)   X(23)
15N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   2(11)   X(11)

20N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   6(19)
20N 165W       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)
20N 165W       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)

25N 165W       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)

FR FRIG SHOALS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)

$$
FORECASTER REINHART