188
FXUS64 KCRP 111108
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
508 AM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 506 AM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

- Elevated to critical fire weather conditions today, Red Flag
  Warning in effect for Brush Country. Elevated fire weather
  conditions continue into Wednesday.

- Pacific cold front early next week, bringing low rain chances
  over the Victoria Crossroads this weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1105 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

It`s going to be a chilly start to the morning with lows in the 30s
and 40s out the door. This will be thanks to efficient
radiational cooling across the region. The concern for today will
be the continued drier conditions across the area leading to fire
weather concerns. The area is under a Red Flag Warning and Fire
Danger Statement for much of the region (Brush Country and Inland
Coastal Plains). Winds are expected to be a limiting factor though
some gusts up to 20 mph can be expected especially out west. This
will likely be possible again tomorrow as moisture returns to the
region to conclude the week. Otherwise, a gradual warming trend
can be expected through the remainder of the period as highs climb
back into the 80s and 90s out west. A pacific cold front will
likely track into the region this late this weekend likely
bringing some low rain chances. Will be something worth keeping an
eye on, though a cool down isn`t expected with this shallow
front.

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 506 AM CST Tue Nov 11 2025

VFR conditions are expected to prevail throughout this TAF cycle.
Gusty winds this afternoon will decrease around sunset and
become light overnight. Low level wind shear of 35 knots will be
possible at COT between 07-09z tonight.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1105 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) onshore flow is expected to
strengthen to a south to southeasterly fresh to strong breeze (BF
5-6) Tuesday night through Wednesday night. Moderate to fresh
breeze will follow to close out the work week. South to
southeasterly flow will strengthen to a strong breeze again this
weekend, in advance of an Pacific cold front that will shift winds
northwesterly in the wake.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1105 PM CST Mon Nov 10 2025

Elevated to near critical fire weather conditions will continue
through Wednesday, with worst conditions over the Brush Country.
Winds strengthen slightly Tuesday and with minimum relative humidity
falling below 30%, a Red Flag Warning has been issued for McMullen,
La Salle, Webb, and Duval counties for today from 10 AM to 6 PM CST.
Elsewhere towards the inland coastal county portions, a Fire Danger
Statement has been issued. Another elevated fire weather day is
expected over the Brush Country on Wednesday. Enough moisture will
return by the latter half of the week to negate fire weather
concerns.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    75  59  82  64 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          75  54  84  60 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            77  56  86  61 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             78  53  86  59 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          75  65  81  68 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           77  52  86  58 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        77  55  85  60 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       74  67  79  70 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Red Flag Warning from 10 AM this morning to 6 PM CST this
     evening for TXZ229-230-239-240.

GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...JCP/84