Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
128 FXUS64 KCRP 171114 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 614 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 608 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 - Scattered showers and storms in the Victoria Crossroads and Northern Coastal Bend Friday. - Above normal temperatures continue. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1232 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Not a lot of change from previous forecast. The two features in the long term period continue to be an inverted trough that could bring some showers to the northern Coastal Bend/Victoria Crossroads tomorrow, followed by an approaching front over the weekend. Have increased PoPs just a bit for Friday, but mainly over the waters. Will have around 30% though for far areas near Matagorda Bay. With a steady southeasterly flow/movement of showers, rainfall amounts over half an inch are not impossible. Temperatures (both max and min) will remain a few degrees above normal. Turning to the cold front... Still not especially excited about it, though guidance is a little more optimistic on getting a wind shift and lower dewpoints into much of the region. Overall thinking has not changed though. Expect a decrease in dewpoints during the day Sunday and into Sunday night especially for inland areas as much drier air aloft sets in and is able to mix to the surface. Daytime temperatures, however, will not see an improvement. Lows Sunday night will drop closer to normal levels though, and currently have upper 50s in the Victoria area. Southeasterly flow will bring back the moisture quickly on Sunday to bring us back to above normal temps and humidity. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 608 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Some patchy fog for ALI and VCT this morning will have the potential to briefly reduce visibility to MVFR so have included this in TEMPO groups through 14Z. Otherwise, expect VFR conditions to prevail. While chances remain low, have maintained the PROB30 for light rain at VCT this afternoon. && .MARINE... Issued at 1232 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Onshore flow will generally be gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) through Saturday night. A frontal boundary nearing the coast on Sunday will allow for a brief opportunity for winds to be more out of the northeast on Sunday at moderate strength. Showers and thunderstorms will be possible today, mainly north of Port Aransas. Only isolated showers are expected from Saturday through the end of the period. Onshore flow returns early next week. && .FIRE WEATHER... Issued at 1232 AM CDT Fri Oct 17 2025 Minimum RH values remain above 35% through Saturday with mainly light winds. A weak front on Sunday will bring lower RH values for inland areas, but winds will remain generally weak, precluding any increased fire concern. Showers and storms are possible Friday in the Victoria Crossroads and northern Coastal Bend, but the remainder of the area will be dry. Beyond Friday, rain chances are below 20% through the weekend and into next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 89 73 92 72 / 10 0 0 0 Victoria 88 70 92 68 / 20 0 10 10 Laredo 94 71 96 72 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 92 69 95 69 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 87 75 89 73 / 20 10 0 0 Cotulla 94 70 97 70 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 90 70 93 69 / 10 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 85 77 87 76 / 10 10 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...PH/83 AVIATION...LS/77