223
FXUS64 KCRP 231942
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
242 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 131 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

- Heat Advisory from noon to 8 PM

- Major to Extreme risk of heat-related impacts continue into next
  week with peak afternoon heat indices around 110 to 115

- Daily elevated fire weather conditions over the Brush Country

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 131 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

A high that is located around the Four Corners region, will meander
south-southeastwards slightly through the week. This will promote
very dry rain free conditions outside of occasional isolated
seabreeze convection daily. Heat indices will be up to 113 today
once again. This is expected to persist through the week. Therefore
we will continue to monitor for short- fused heat related
products. We could see heat indices near 115 by midweek. This
translates to moderate to predominately major HeatRisk conditions,
though some areas of extreme HeatRisk will be possible in the
Brush Country. We strongly encourage the practice of heat safety
in these conditions. Take frequent breaks and remember to stay
hydrated, check those backseats, and avoid long exposure in these
temperatures. For more information be sure to check out
weather.gov/heatsafety.

With the presence of high ERCs and low relative humidity values
across inland South Texas, elevated fire weather conditions will
be expected today. Due to this a Fire Danger Statement was issued
through 10 PM tonight. Though winds are expected to be light,
fires will be able to be easily ignited.

Late this week, guidance is hinting at the potential for a
disturbance to sneak around the eastern periphery of the ridge.
This could combine with some returning moisture to provide some
relief. We will hold our breath on this possibility due to it
being still too far out. In the meantime, stay cool everyone!

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 131 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

VFR conditions will prevail through much of the TAF cycle with
the exception of MVFR conditions at ALI and VCT briefly Monday
morning. S-SE 10-15 knots gusting to around 20 knots occasionally
will decrease this evening below 10 knots.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 131 PM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

Light to moderate (BF 2-4) onshore breezes will continue through the
period, with occasional fresh (BF 5) breezes possible during the
late afternoon/evening hours, especially south of Port Aransas. Seas
are expected to remain around 2-3 feet. Rain chances will remain
near zero through the middle of the week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 125 AM CDT Sun Aug 23 2026

ERC values are in the 75-89th percentile, with low humidity, dry to
critically dry fuels, and hot temperatures, leading to elevated fire
weather conditions over the Brush Country and portions of the
Coastal Plains. Conditions will need to be closely monitored as a
few locations across the Brush Country could even see critical fire
weather conditions into next week. Considered an RFD for today;
however, the winds should remain low enough to forego this.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    77  96  77  96 /   0   0   0   0
Victoria          75 102  75 102 /   0   0   0   0
Laredo            78 105  78 106 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             73 102  74 102 /   0   0   0   0
Rockport          81  93  81  92 /   0   0   0   0
Cotulla           75 105  76 105 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        75 100  75 100 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       81  91  81  91 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...Heat Advisory until 8 PM CDT this evening for TXZ230>234-241>247-
     342>344-346-347.

GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...NP/92
AVIATION...NP/92