Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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857
FXUS64 KCRP 161758
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
Issued by National Weather Service Austin/San Antonio TX
1258 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

...New DISCUSSION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1253 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

- Moderate to Major Heat Risk through early this week

- Rain Chances increasing again late this week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

A persistent ridge will dominate the weather pattern across South
Texas for the next few days, leading to warm and humid conditions
with a moderate to major heat risk. Maximum Heat indices around 105-
109 are expected through Wednesday then for the remainder of the
week will max out near 100 degrees. Scattered showers and
thunderstorms primarily along the coast and inland during the
afternoon due to sea breeze interaction and potential decaying upper-
level disturbances. There`s a moderate chance for storms the rest of
today with chances Tuesday and Wednesday being low. A plume of
tropical moisture is anticipated to increase rain/storm chances to
around a moderate (45-55%) chance by the latter half of the week,
helping to mitigate the heat.

Surface highs during the first half of this week will top out in the
upper 80s along the coast, with low 100s approaching 105 in some
locales inland. For the remainder of the period, expect highs in the
mid 80s to mid 90s across the region. Overnight lows will be in the
mid-70s to around 80 degrees under partly cloudy skies.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1124 AM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

Numerous showers and thunderstorms are still affecting ALI and
CRP with activity continuing through 20-21Z or so. By this
evening, precipitation and storm chances diminish and flight
categories return to primarily VFR through Tuesday morning. TEMPO
groups were included for ALI and VCT tomorrow morning for brief
periods of MVFR VSBYs due to patchy fog.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1253 PM CDT Mon Jun 16 2025

South-southeasterly moderate to fresh breeze (BF 4-5) will persist
into next week, with a few periods of Small Craft Exercise Caution
conditions, particularly Tuesday and Wednesday. Expect mainly dry
conditions through Wednesday but then the remainder of the period
features moderate chances for showers and thunderstorms across
the waters.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    78  94  79  93 /  10   0   0   0
Victoria          75  91  76  91 /  10   0   0   0
Laredo            78 102  77 103 /  10   0   0   0
Alice             75  98  76  98 /  10   0   0   0
Rockport          81  90  81  90 /  10   0   0   0
Cotulla           78 103  77 103 /  10   0   0   0
Kingsville        76  97  77  95 /  10   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       81  89  81  90 /  10   0   0   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...BF/80
AVIATION...KRS/98