849
FXUS64 KCRP 302341
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
541 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 534 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

- Below normal temperatures through Tuesday with near normal
  temperatures returning mid-week

- Rain chances will remain elevated through Monday

- Wind chill values between 33-40 degrees Monday morning and 31-40
  degrees Tuesday morning

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 133 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

Rain chances will remain medium to high (40-80%) through Monday as a
coastal trough develops in the northwest Gulf and interacts with
isentropic lift across South Texas. Rain chances will quickly taper
off Tuesday as the coastal trough moves away from the region. Rain
chances will increase back to medium to high (40-70%) chances mid-
week as areas of positive vorticity advection move across South
Texas ahead of our next cold front later in the work week. Below
normal temperatures will continue through Tuesday with temperatures
returning to near normal values by mid-week. Although temperatures
will be below normal, overnight temperatures are expected to remain
above freezing (32 degrees F). However, chilly temperatures combined
with winds over 10 mph will lead to cold wind chill values (feels
like temperature) Monday morning ranging between 33-40 degrees
Monday morning and 31-40 degrees Tuesday morning.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 534 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

MVFR ceilings blanket South Texas, with slightly higher VFR
ceilings around 3-4kft near the Rio Grande (LRD/COT). North to
northeasterly winds around 12 knots early this evening will
diminish overnight. Conditions will deteriorate overnight into the
morning hours Monday as ceilings drop, bringing IFR/LIFR over
Coastal sites (ALI/CRP/VCT) and a medium to high chance for
showers. Rain chances will diminish by the afternoon but can
expect MVFR vsby reductions with direct shower impacts. Ceilings
improve to VFR out west over COT/LRD by the afternoon. Winds will
remain light out of the north to northeast tomorrow.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 133 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

A fresh to strong breeze (BF 5-6) will continue through Tuesday
before weakening to a gentle breeze (BF 3) Tuesday night. Winds are
expected to strengthen back to a fresh breeze by late this week.
Medium to high (65-90%) rain chances will remain in the forecast
over the Gulf waters through Monday night before rain chances
quickly taper off Tuesday. Medium to high rain chance (60-90%) will
return mid- week and continue through the end of the work week.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 133 PM CST Sun Nov 30 2025

Minimum relative humidity will remain above 35% through this week
along with below normal temperatures Sunday through Tuesday
following a strong cold front early this morning. Medium to high
chances for showers are forecast through Monday. A brief lull in
rain chances is expected after a reinforcing surge of high pressure
pushes through late Monday night into Tuesday, but low to medium
rain chances return Wednesday through Friday as additional
disturbances arrive. There are no elevated fire weather concerns at
this time.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    46  56  44  59 /  50  60  10   0
Victoria          42  54  39  58 /  40  80  10   0
Laredo            48  63  47  62 /  30  10   0   0
Alice             43  56  43  60 /  50  50  10   0
Rockport          47  58  45  61 /  50  70  20   0
Cotulla           46  58  44  61 /  30  20   0   0
Kingsville        44  58  45  59 /  50  40  10   0
Navy Corpus       51  60  49  61 /  60  60  30   0

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...Small Craft Advisory until midnight CST tonight for GMZ231-232-
     236-237.

     Small Craft Advisory until 6 AM CST Monday for GMZ250-255-270-
     275.

&&

$$


DISCUSSION...JCP/84
AVIATION...EMF/94