Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
674 FXUS64 KCRP 021745 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1245 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1224 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025 - Conditions - Moderate to major risk of heat related impacts Wednesday through Friday. - Rain chances expected to return this weekend. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1224 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025 Activity across the region has generally waned, though some showers and thunderstorms remain offshore and along the coast mainly associated with the sea breeze. This is expected to taper off completely late this afternoon with drier conditions persisting through the remainder of the week. Highs will be pretty warm once again reaching 105 out west by Thursday with upper 90s elsewhere. Continue to practice heat safety if you are planning on spending extended periods outside. Remember to stay hydrated and take frequent breaks. More heat safety information can be found at weather.gov/heat. This weekend is shaping up to be a very wet weekend with increasing confidence that it could lead to potentially significant impacts. Guidance has continued to hint that a tropical disturbance currently off the Gulf of California is expected to get absorbed into the main synoptic pattern and track towards Texas. Concurrently, the moisture is expected to return to region off of the Gulf. With the remnant vorticity in the region in addition to the other factors, efficient rainfall will be possible which could lead to some impacts to South Texas this weekend and into early next week. Setups like this in the past have lead to significant flooding across South Texas, so this definitely has our attention. With this still being a few days out, models are still uncertain on the exact locations and timing though rain chances are continuing to increase. Confidence is remaining pretty low on rainfall total amounts but latest outputs suggest around 2-3 inches along portions of the Coastal Bend and Victoria Crossroads. We will continue monitor this potential situation as time progresses. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1224 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025 VFR conditions are expected to prevail through the remainder of the period with relatively light winds. Some periods of MVFR VSBYs will be possible at ALI though with confidence remaining low, it was left out of the TAF at this time. && .MARINE... Issued at 1224 PM CDT Tue Sep 2 2025 Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) north-northeast winds will persist through Wednesday before transitioning back onshore by Wednesday evening. A low to medium (30-60%) chance of showers and thunderstorms will continue through this afternoon before chances diminish this evening. Conditions should remain dry through the end of the work week. As moisture returns off the Gulf later in the week, rain chances increase as a disturbance approaches the region this weekend. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 75 97 75 97 / 10 10 10 0 Victoria 72 98 71 100 / 10 10 0 0 Laredo 76 102 77 105 / 0 10 0 0 Alice 73 100 72 101 / 10 10 0 0 Rockport 78 94 78 94 / 10 10 10 0 Cotulla 75 101 75 104 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 74 97 73 99 / 10 10 0 0 Navy Corpus 80 92 80 91 / 20 10 10 10 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...NP/92 AVIATION...NP/92