Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
487 FXUS64 KCRP 222325 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 625 PM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 616 PM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025 - There`s a Marginal risk for excessive rainfall today and tonight - Moderate (40-60%) chance for showers/storms today and Saturday && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1251 PM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025 Not much change expected to the overall weather pattern at least through this weekend as a quasi-stationary boundary lingers near the S TX coast. Mid-level troughing also remains in place through early next week, after which, mid-level ridging associated with a Desert SW high will build over our region the remainder of the week. Meanwhile, an area of low pressure near the surface in the vicinity of the region will help contribute to instability with surface convergence acting as lift along the aforementioned boundary. Shower/storm activity will start to wane next week as first, the mid-levels dry out followed by lower levels around mid- week. Expect daily shower/storm activity through much of next week with mainly a moderate chance (40-60%) this weekend followed by low to moderate chances through Wednesday and 30% or less the remainder of next week. Another Marginal Excessive Rainfall Outlook (ERO) is in effect today through tonight for the north- eastern Coastal Plains. Similar to yesterday, QPF will generally be under 1-inch with isolated spots over 1-inch possible. Shower activity will increase cloud cover contributing to cooler afternoon temperatures today through the weekend. Highs today will be in the low 90s to near 100 out west. Tomorrow and Sunday highs will range in the mid 80s to mid 90s. Followed by a slow warming trend to around 90-100 degrees the remainder of the week. && .AVIATION... (00Z TAFS) Issued at 616 PM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025 A few showers and thunderstorms around the area again today, mainly impacting the Victoria Crossroads at this time. Could still see some development along boundaries near ALI this evening. COT and LRD also have a small potential for convection, but have left out of the TAFs at this time, a it looks to remain mainly away from the terminal. Otherwise, primarily VFR conditions are expected tonight, except for the potential for brief MVFR conditions near convection. Tomorrow`s convective activity looks less wide spread and have not included the mention in any TAF site yet. Will monitor for the potential to include in any site, but potential is too low at this time. && .MARINE... Issued at 1251 PM CDT Fri Aug 22 2025 A variable light to gentle breeze (BF 2-3) is expected to prevail this weekend becoming a gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) onshore flow early next week. Rain chances are moderate to high through the weekend then decrease to moderate for much of next week. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 75 91 75 91 / 40 60 60 70 Victoria 72 91 72 93 / 40 60 40 60 Laredo 77 96 76 96 / 40 50 50 60 Alice 73 93 73 92 / 40 60 50 80 Rockport 77 91 77 90 / 50 60 60 70 Cotulla 76 96 76 96 / 20 40 30 50 Kingsville 75 92 74 91 / 40 60 60 80 Navy Corpus 79 89 80 89 / 50 60 70 70 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...BF/80 AVIATION...PH/83