Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
093 FXUS64 KCRP 171125 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 625 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025 ...New AVIATION... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 620 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025 - Low (10-20%)chance of showers and thunderstorms Friday across the Victoria Crossroads. - Moderate to major risk of heat related impacts over the weekend and into next week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1226 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025 The National Hurricane Center continues to monitor an area of low pressure (Tropical Invest AL93) across the northeast gulf. The system is forecast to continue moving west across the northern gulf tonight. There is a medium 40 percent chance of development over the next 48 hours. Impacts are not expected across S TX other than a slight increase in moisture. Otherwise, the summer time pattern will continue through the upcoming weekend and into next week with South Texas expected to remain generally rain free. There is low (10-25%) chance of showers and thunderstorms across the Victoria Crossroads Friday, but is dependent on Tropical Invest AL93. Temperatures will be near to slightly above normal through the weekend and into next week. Max heat indices may briefly approach 110 over the weekend across the Brush Country due to the expected slight increase in moisture. The slightly higher heat indices will lead to a moderate to major risk of heat related impacts over the weekend and into next week. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 620 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025 A drier vertical profile has led to little in the way of low cloud development, thus mainly VFR conditions are occurring and are expected through the remainder of the period. && .MARINE... Issued at 1226 AM CDT Thu Jul 17 2025 Mainly gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) southeasterly winds with gusts to fresh (BF 5) levels will persist over the waters through much of the upcoming weekend and into next week. Occasionally higher gusts around 25 knots will be possible from Port Aransas southward to Baffin Bay each afternoon. Rain chances are low through the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 93 75 93 77 / 0 0 0 0 Victoria 96 74 94 75 / 0 0 20 0 Laredo 103 75 102 77 / 0 0 0 0 Alice 98 73 97 75 / 0 0 0 0 Rockport 90 79 91 81 / 0 0 10 0 Cotulla 103 75 101 77 / 0 0 0 0 Kingsville 94 74 94 75 / 0 0 0 0 Navy Corpus 88 79 89 80 / 0 0 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...TE/81 AVIATION...PH/83