Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
018 FXUS64 KCRP 141741 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1241 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1212 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 - Low rain chances (20-30%) along the Rio Grande through Tuesday - Dry the rest of the week. && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1212 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 A generally dry and seasonally warm pattern is expected across South Texas through much of this week. Some deeper moisture and mid-level vorticity will linger near the Rio Grande through Tuesday, supporting low-end rain chances (~20-30%) for western portions of the Brush Country and Rio Grande Plains. Elsewhere, drier air associated with ridging over the Gulf will limit rain potential for the CWA through the weekend. Isolated seabreeze driven showers may still pop up each afternoon, but coverage will be extremely limited. Temperatures will trend near to slightly above seasonal, with highs ranging from the low 90s along the coast to upper 90s inland. Low 100s will reach the Rio Grande Plains by midweek. Overnight lows will generally remain in the upper 70s to low 80s early this week, before dropping a few degrees in response to the drier air filtering in. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1212 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 VFR conditions will persist across South Texas through early tomorrow morning, at which time we expect yet another round of MVFR CIGs across all sites with brief periods of IFR across KALI and KCRP. Conditions will improve back to VFR by mid tomorrow morning. Low chances of rain remain in the forecast this afternoon (<30%) across the Victoria Crossroads, northern Coastal Plains, and northern Brush Country. With confidence on the lower side, we will continue to monitor conditions and issue amendments as needed, particularly for KVCT, KCOT, and KLRD. Precipitation chances diminish this evening as we lose daytime heating. Southeasterly winds this afternoon will gust up to 20-25 knots before decreasing during the overnight hours. && .MARINE... Issued at 1212 PM CDT Mon Jul 14 2025 Mainly gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) southeasterly winds with gusts to fresh (BF 5) levels will persist over the waters through much of the upcoming week. Rain chances are minimal through the period. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 79 92 78 93 / 10 10 0 0 Victoria 77 93 76 94 / 10 10 0 10 Laredo 79 100 78 102 / 20 20 10 10 Alice 77 96 75 98 / 10 10 0 10 Rockport 82 90 81 90 / 10 10 0 0 Cotulla 79 100 78 101 / 20 20 10 10 Kingsville 77 92 76 94 / 0 10 0 0 Navy Corpus 81 89 81 89 / 10 10 0 0 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KRS/98 AVIATION...KRS/98