Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX
332 FXUS64 KCRP 251738 AFDCRP Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX 1238 PM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 ...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE... .KEY MESSAGES... Updated at 1138 AM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 - Low to medium (20-50%) chance of showers and thunderstorms, mainly eastern portions of South Texas tomorrow and Sunday/Monday. - Rain chances will trend lower Friday into Saturday (~20%). && .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1138 AM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 A humid and unstable atmosphere will continue to support low to medium (20-50%) chances for showers and thunderstorms through tomorrow. Most activity will remain isolated to scattered in nature, favoring the late morning through the afternoon hours with the assistance of sea breeze interactions. Rainfall coverage will remain hit-or-miss, with the best potential of measurable rain occurring across the Victoria Crossroads where deeper moisture is present. While many locations will see little to no rainfall accumulation, locally higher totals approaching 0.75 inches are possible where moisture availability remains highest. Rain chances will trend lower Friday into Saturday (~20%) as slightly drier air filters into the region in the form of a plume of Saharan dust, leading to hazy skies and a more limited coverage of showers and storms. Isolated activity is only forecast near the coast as tropical moisture will remain in place. Another uptick in moisture (PWATs approaching 2.0 inches) is expected by late Sunday into Monday as an upper-level disturbance moves in, reintroducing higher rain chances (20-50%) across the Coastal Plains and Victoria Crossroads. Despite the daily precipitation chances, temperatures will remain close to normal through the forecast period. Daytime highs will top out in the 90s, with heat index values climbing into the 100-105 degF range where rain is absent. Overnight lows will stay mild and muggy in the low to mid 70s inland to near 80 degF along the coast. && .AVIATION... (18Z TAFS) Issued at 1138 AM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 VFR conditions will prevail across South Texas with southeasterly winds sustained 10-15 knots and gusts to 20-25 knots. There is a low to medium chance of showers and thunderstorms through today, mainly across the Victoria Crossroads through 00Z, however did decide to go ahead and mention VCTS chances for CRP and ALI through then as well as probabilities are close to the 30% mark. Mostly clear skies and light winds are in the forecast again near the end of the period which will pose another threat for fog and therefore LIFR VSBYs for ALI. && .MARINE... Issued at 1138 AM CDT Wed Jun 25 2025 Gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) southeasterly flow is expected through early next week. Low to medium (20-60%) rain chances are also forecast each afternoon through Monday before decreasing to under 30% by Tuesday. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Corpus Christi 76 91 76 92 / 10 20 0 20 Victoria 73 91 73 92 / 10 50 0 20 Laredo 75 99 75 98 / 10 10 0 0 Alice 73 93 73 93 / 0 20 0 10 Rockport 80 89 79 90 / 20 30 10 20 Cotulla 75 99 75 99 / 10 10 0 10 Kingsville 74 91 74 92 / 0 20 0 10 Navy Corpus 80 88 79 89 / 20 30 10 20 && .CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... TX...None. GM...None. && $$ DISCUSSION...KRS/98 AVIATION...KRS/98