Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Corpus Christi, TX

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727
FXUS64 KCRP 161701
AFDCRP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Corpus Christi TX
1201 PM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

...New DISCUSSION, AVIATION, MARINE...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1128 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

- Low (10-30%)chance of showers and thunderstorms Friday, mainly
Victoria Crossroads.

- Moderate to major risk of heat related impacts over the weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
Issued at 1128 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

While there will not be much of an appreciable difference, the
forecast is still dependent on the development (or lack of
development) of tropical invest AL93 over the northeast Gulf.
Current thinking is that this system will remain mostly
disorganized (though a tropical depression could develop) as it
moves along the northern Gulf coast. This would allow a plume of
moisture to move over the area, increasing our chances for
precipitation Friday and Saturday over the Victoria Crossroads.
Chances are still low (10-30%) and will mainly be seabreeze
driven. The increased moisture will also lead to some increasing
temperatures. Most locations will still remain below Heat Advisory
criteria, but we will face a moderate to major risk of heat
related impacts over the weekend.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1128 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

VFR conditions are expected through the TAF cycle for all but ALI
and VCT where MVFR ceilings and, perhaps, visibility are possible
early Thursday morning. Have included a TEMPO for each of these
sites for ceilings, but have not really included a mention for
MVFR visibility. Drier air is expected which will reduce the
confidence in fog/reduced visibility.

&&

.MARINE...
Issued at 1128 AM CDT Wed Jul 16 2025

Mainly gentle to moderate (BF 3-4) southeasterly winds with gusts to
fresh (BF 5) levels will persist over the waters through the rest
of the week and into the weekend. Occasionally higher gusts
around 25 knots will be possible from Port Aransas and southward
each afternoon. Rain chances are low through the period.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Corpus Christi    76  93  75  94 /   0   0   0  10
Victoria          74  96  75  94 /   0   0  10  20
Laredo            76 102  75 102 /   0   0   0   0
Alice             73  97  73  98 /   0   0   0  10
Rockport          80  90  79  90 /   0   0  10  10
Cotulla           75 102  75 101 /   0   0   0   0
Kingsville        74  94  74  95 /   0   0   0   0
Navy Corpus       79  88  79  88 /   0   0   0  10

&&

.CRP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...None.
GM...None.
&&

$$


DISCUSSION...LS/77
AVIATION...LS/77