332
FXUS61 KCTP 092259
AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
659 PM EDT Fri Oct 9 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Periods of rain and breezy conditions from Isaias arrive
Saturday night and continue through Sunday

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Periods of rain and breezy conditions from
Isaias arrive Saturday night and continue through Sunday

Departing high pressure will maintain dry weather tonight and
Saturday with increasing mid and high clouds. While clouds could
modulate min temps to some extent, expect another chilly night
across the northern tier with patchy frost possible.

Rain associated with Isaias is projected to reach the Laurel
Highlands after midnight early Sunday morning and gradually
expand throughout central PA Sunday morning. Periods of rain
continue Sunday afternoon into Sunday night before tapering off
by early Monday. Total rainfall amounts are still forecast
between 0.50 and 1.50 inches over a 24-36hr duration with a low
risk of potential flooding impacts. As post-tropical/TD Isaias
tracks from the TN Valley into WV, it`s wind field will bring
breezy conditions with max wind gusts 35-40 mph fcst over the
ridgetops in the Laurel Highlands on Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SATURDAY THROUGH WEDNESDAY/...
Prevailing VFR remains likely through Saturday as a broad high
pressure moves across the Northeastern US. Similar to last
night, we may see some patchy valley fog form, but the very dry
air mass and increasing cloud cover should limit the overall
extent. HREF and REFS probabilities of visibility less than 6SM
is less than 10 percent at all TAF sites. Mid and high clouds
increase through the day on Saturday ahead of what is currently
Hurricane Isaias. Winds will be out of the southeast at 5 to 10
knots, though a few gusts to 20 knots will be possible at KJST
during the afternoon. Any rainfall associated with the remnants
of Isaias will hold off until late Saturday night/early Sunday
morning.

Outlook...

Sun-Mon...Restrictions likely in lower ceilings and rain.

Tue...VFR favored, though a FROPA may bring restrictions in
-SHRA. AM fog possible.

Wed...AM ceiling restrictions possible from post-frontal
stratocu, with VFR otherwise favored. Slight chance of -SHRA due
to lingering moisture behind front.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...Steinbugl
KEY MESSAGES...Steinbugl
DISCUSSION...Steinbugl
AVIATION...Bauco/Teare