346
FXUS61 KCTP 242322
AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
722 PM EDT Sat Oct 24 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
* No significant changes

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Dry forecast holds for the next 6-7 days

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Dry forecast holds for the next 6-7 days

We don`t see any new evidence in our suite of model guidance to
deviate away from our existing rain-free forecast.

A large high pressure system at the surface, along with a ridge
axis aloft, will keep the Commonwealth rain-free through the
early part of the upcoming work week. We do expect a cold front
to drop southward across the region Monday night into early
Tuesday, but with only shallow moisture levels to work with,
just some patchy cloudiness and no rainfall are the
expectations.

After a brief shot of seasonably cool air Tuesday into
Wednesday, a warming trend is likely later in the week, along
with continued rain-free conditions. At least southern portions
of the Commonwealth should pop back into the 70s as we approach
next weekend.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z SUNDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
High pressure over the area will result in clear skies and
light winds tonight into Sunday and well into the upcoming
week.

Under a strong inversion, there could be an isolated thin
layer of haze and fog late at any location, as was the case
just before sunrise at AOO this morning. For now, will leave
fog out of the fcst for most of the TAF sites.

More info. below.

Will hold onto low clouds and fog at IPT, as this site has a
higher chance for this type of condition (60 perent).

Some hints of return of Atlantic moisture around 9H into the
southern tier tonight, and could make SCT- BKN clouds
(MVFR/FL020-030) along and S of the MD border. But, the chcs are
even lower that they (if they form) would impact any of our
terminals. We did mention MVFR- level SCT clouds (not cigs) at
JST and AOO.

Outlook...

Mon-Thu...VFR prevailing conditions.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...Jurewicz
KEY MESSAGES...Jurewicz
DISCUSSION...Jurewicz
AVIATION...Martin