732
FXUS61 KCTP 020038
AFDCTP

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
838 PM EDT Mon Jun 1 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
* Bumped clouds and PoPs up across the srn half of the area for
  much of tonight.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Clouds and isolated light showers possible tonight, esp south.


2) Dry spell continues in advance of returning summer warmth.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Clouds and isolated light showers possible
tonight, esp south.

Clouds congesting due to convergence and increasing moisture in
the 7-12kft layer. A couple of tiny showers have formed in SErn
PA and trying to make actual precip. Trouble with that is the
the bases are 7kft in the air and the light precip might
evaporate before hitting the ground - esp because dewpoints are
so low (40s). Despite this, it is worth mentioning a small PoP
for the night for the southern half of the CWA.

   -------------------------------------------------------

KEY MESSAGE 2: Dry spell continues in advance of returning
summer warmth.

The recent stretch of dry weather continues this week as
Canadian high pressure migrates southeast from Hudson Bay off
the Carolina coast by the weekend. Only exception may be a stray
sprinkle on Tue afternoon/evening as a weak upper wave rounds
the west side of the trough to our east. Enjoy the comfortable
to seasonally pleasant conditions with no rain forecast for
another 5-6 days.

A shift in the pattern will bring rising temperatures and
humidity levels for late week with summer conditions returning
into the first weekend of June. Max temps climb above early June
climo into the 75-85F range on Thursday followed by widespread
80-90F readings fcst Friday through Sunday.

An approaching cold front will bring an increasing chance for
scattered showers/t-storms Saturday into Sunday (max POPs on
Sunday), with rain chances continuing into next week.

&&

.AVIATION /00Z TUESDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/...
A deep storm off the east coast and a large area of high
pressure across central Canada will keep a northerly
flow of very dry air over the area into at least Thursday.

Very little chance for fog tonight, thus expect VFR
conditions to prevail through Wednesday. Some fair weather
CU and high clouds at times.

Winds will be light most of the time, but expect some gust
later Tuesday morning into the afternoon, as the strong June
sun heats the airmass up, and strong mixing occurs with the
cold air aloft.

Outlook...

Wed-Fri...VFR with no significant weather. Any showers that
develop Tue or Wed will be light and spotty. Any fog very
limited.

Sat...VFR favored with restrictions possible in -SHRA, mainly
late.

&&

.CTP WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.

&&

$$

WHAT HAS CHANGED...Dangelo
KEY MESSAGES...Steinbugl
DISCUSSION...Dangelo/Steinbugl/Colbert
AVIATION...Martin