Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS71 KCTP 251159
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for SGL 329 Summer...PA Game Commission
National Weather Service State College PA
759 AM EDT Tue Jun 25 2024

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 EDT on June 25.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
A ridge of high pressure at the surface and aloft will slide
east across Pennsylvania this morning, bringing clear skies
and light wind.

Sunshine mixing with mid and high clouds this afternoon will
accompany warmer conditions today and winds will be relatively
light.

The high will move off the Mid Atlantic Coast later today,
and moisture will return quickly tonight on a strengthening low
level Southwesterly flow.

Some showers and possible thunderstorms will move over the
Western half of the state by daybreak Wednesday. The chance
for showers and thunderstorms increases throughout Wednesday
afternoon as a cold front and preceding nose of strong low
to mid level, west to southwesterly winds moves across the
Commonwealth.

Seasonably warm and dry weather with abundant sunshine and
comfortable humidity will follow for Thursday.

.TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (20-30 percent).
Max Temperature.....Around 83.
Min Humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing Height.......6300 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 7 to 16 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 17 mph late in the afternoon.
Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated
                    fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................9 early in the morning increasing to 58 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  0   0   0   2   5   29  35  29  23  49  46  29
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Temp..............  56  56  65  68  72  77  78  80  82  83  83  82
RH................  86  86  70  61  53  45  40  36  32  32  33  35
20 FT Wind Dir....  W   NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT Wind Spd....  2   2   2   2   2   3   4   4   5   5   5   5
20 FT Wind Gust...  4   4   4   4   4   6   7   7   10  10  10  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.2 0.3 0.9 1.1 2.1 4.9 5.3 5.7 5.9 6.3 6.2 5.8
Transp Wind Dir...  NW  NW  NW  NW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW  SW
Transp Wind Spd...  8   7   8   7   7   10  12  13  15  16  17  17
LVORI.............  5   5   3   3   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  9   9   9   42  42  42  49  49  49  58  58  58
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (55-65 percent). Chance of
                    showers and slight chance of thunderstorms late
                    in the evening.
Min Temperature.....Around 69.
Max Humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph
                    overnight, then becoming light after 3 am.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms late in the evening.
Mixing Height.......300 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 10 to 17 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................7 to 8.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  22  29  36  42  47  52  57  62  67  65  62  60
Weather Cov.......                      CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC
Weather Type......                      RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........                      SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Temp..............  81  79  78  75  74  73  73  72  71  70  70  69
RH................  39  44  48  54  55  59  59  64  68  71  71  73
20 FT Wind Dir....  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   4   4
20 FT Wind Gust...  7   6   6   6   8   11  12  12  12  12  11  11
Mix Hgt (kft).....  4.7 2.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3
Transp Wind Dir...  SW  SW  S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
Transp Wind Spd...  17  13  12  10  13  12  12  12  10  10  10  10
LVORI.............  2   2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
ADI...............  8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   8   7   7   7
Haines Index......  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   3   3   3   3

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms in the morning, then
                    showers and chance of thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Max Temperature.....Around 86.
Min Humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest around 5 mph in
                    the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    late in the morning. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing Height.......4000 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....West 9 to 13 mph.
Haines Index........3 to 4 or very low to low potential for large
                    plume dominated fire growth.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................15 to 35.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  60  60  60  64  68  72  76  80  84  84  84  84
Weather Cov.......          CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC DEF DEF DEF LKY
Weather Type......          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........          SCH SCH SCH CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Temp..............  71  72  74  76  78  80  82  83  85  84  82  81
RH................  71  73  71  69  67  65  61  59  55  57  61  63
20 FT Wind Dir....  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  W   W
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   4   4   4   4   4   4   5   5   5   5   5
20 FT Wind Gust...  11  11  11  11  12  12  13  13  14  14  14  14
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.4 0.5 0.9 1.4 2.3 2.8 3.5 4.0 3.9 3.3 2.8 2.2
Transp Wind Dir...  W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W   W
Transp Wind Spd...  10  10  13  13  13  12  12  10  13  12  10  9
LVORI.............  3   3   3   3   3   2   2   2   1   2   2   2
ADI...............  15  15  15  27  27  27  35  35  35  29  29  29
Haines Index......  3   3   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4   4

$$
Forecaster...Banghoff
Requested by...Jim Roberts
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2416482.0/CTP
.DELDT 06/24/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jamesrober@pa.gov