Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS State College, PA

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FNUS71 KCTP 091012
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Spot Forecast for Paucke Rx...DCNR Forestry
National Weather Service State College PA
612 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on October 09.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.


.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions with sunny skies are certain (100% confidence)
through the next 48 hours in the area. Light northeasterly winds
this morning will gradually increase later this morning and into
early afternoon hours, with peak wind gusts expected near 15-17
mph between 10 AM and 4 PM. Minimum relative humidity this
afternoon is expected to fall in the 35-40% range between 12 PM
and 5 PM at the site, with slightly higher minimum relative
humidity on Friday.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent).
Max Temperature.....Around 60.
Min Humidity........37 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 6 mph.
Mixing Height.......4600 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....North 9 to 16 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................34 to 44.

TIME (EDT)          9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  7   4   4   4   2   4   4   4   3
Weather Cov.......
Weather Type......
Tstm Cov..........
Chc of thdr (%)...  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp..............  41  46  50  53  56  58  58  59  57
RH................  82  68  58  52  45  40  39  37  38
20 FT Wind Dir....  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT Wind Spd....  5   6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT Wind Gust...  13  13  13  12  11  11  11  10  10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  2.8 3.5 3.9 4.2 4.4 4.6 4.6 4.5 4.3
Transp Wind Dir...  NE  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp Wind Spd...  15  16  16  14  13  12  12  10  9
LVORI.............  3   1   1   1   1   1   1   2   2
ADI...............  44  44  44  39  39  39  34  34  34

.TONIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Clear (0-10 percent). Areas of frost late in
                    the evening. Widespread frost overnight.
Min Temperature.....Around 31.
Max Humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds around 5 mph early in the
                    evening becoming light.
Mixing Height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Northeast 6 to 8 mph shifting to the southeast
                    6 to 7 mph overnight.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 to 4.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  3   3   3   3   6   2   5   4   1   2   3   3
Weather Cov.......                      ARS ARS WID WID WID WID WID
Weather Type......                      FST FST FST FST FST FST FST
Tstm Cov..........
Chc of thdr (%)...  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp..............  55  51  44  42  40  38  35  34  33  32  32  32
RH................  41  48  60  65  67  73  82  82  85  85  85  85
20 FT Wind Dir....  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   2   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
20 FT Wind Gust...  8   7   6   6   5   4   4   2   2   2   2   4
Mix Hgt (kft).....  2.6 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.1 1.2 1.1
Transp Wind Dir...  NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE
Transp Wind Spd...  8   7   7   7   6   7   7   7   6   6   7   7
LVORI.............  2   2   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   5
ADI...............  4   4   4   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3

.FRIDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (0-10 percent). Widespread frost early in
                    the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 63.
Min Humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 7 mph in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Mixing Height.......4200 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....South 8 to 17 mph increasing to 17 to 18 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
LVORI...............4 early in the morning.
ADI.................12 early in the morning.

TIME (EDT)          6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  4   5   1   2   3   4   4   5   5   5   6   6
Weather Cov.......  WID WID WID
Weather Type......  FST FST FST
Tstm Cov..........
Chc of thdr (%)...  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp..............  31  32  33  38  45  52  57  60  61  63  63  62
RH................  85  85  85  82  68  54  47  44  44  43  43  44
20 FT Wind Dir....  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  1   2   2   3   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  5   5   6   8   10  12  13  14  14  14  14  14
Mix Hgt (kft).....  1.1 1.1 1.1 1.8 2.7 3.5 3.9 4.0 4.0 4.2 4.2 4.0
Transp Wind Dir...  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  8   8   8   12  14  16  17  17  17  17  18  17
LVORI.............  4   4   4   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M
ADI...............  12  12  12  M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M   M

$$
Forecaster...Beaty
Requested by...Eric Fritzinger
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523175.0/CTP
.DELDT 10/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL efritzinge@pa.gov