040
FNUS71 KCTP 111143
FWSCTP

Spot Forecast for Hacket RX...Elk State Forest
National Weather Service State College PA
743 AM EDT Mon May 11 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on May 12.

If conditions become unrepresentative, or if you have questions or
concerns with this forecast, contact the National Weather Service
in State College.

.DISCUSSION...
A cold/frosty start Tuesday; otherwise early sun gives way to
increasing clouds with rain likely late Tuesday night into early
Wednesday morning. MinRH around 30 percent with a light wind.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/Weather.........Sunny (15-25 percent). Widespread frost early
                    in the morning.
Max Temperature.....Around 63.
Min Humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing Height.......5700 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....North around 5 mph shifting to the southwest
                    late in the morning 5 to 10 mph.
Chance of thunder...0 percent.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 80 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)          8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%)...........  13  8   2   2   1   2   4   30  33  41
Weather Cov.......  WID
Weather Type......  FST
Tstm Cov..........
Chc of thdr (%)...  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp..............  38  43  48  52  55  57  60  61  62  63
RH................  73  60  49  43  38  35  32  31  31  29
20 FT Wind Dir....  N   N   W   W   SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW
20 FT Wind Spd....  0   0   1   2   2   3   4   4   4   4
20 FT Wind Gust...  2   2   4   4   6   6   7   8   8   10
Mix Hgt (kft).....  0.7 2.1 3.5 4.4 4.8 5.1 5.5 5.5 5.6 5.7
Transp Wind Dir...  N   S   SW  W   W   W   W   W   W   SW
Transp Wind Spd...  5   5   5   6   7   8   9   10  10  12
LVORI.............  3   2   2   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI...............  4   32  32  32  62  62  62  80  80  80

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/Weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers
                    early in the evening. Rain showers likely
                    overnight.
Min Temperature.....Around 45.
Max Humidity........79 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 5 to 10 mph after 3
                    am.
Mixing Height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport Winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph shifting to the south
                    around 10 mph after 3 am.
Chance of thunder...6 percent.
LVORI...............3.
ADI.................4 to 7.

TIME (EDT)          6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%)...........  77  80  86  99  94  89  89  90  90  90  91  91
Weather Cov.......          CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY LKY
Weather Type......          RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm Cov..........
Chc of thdr (%)...  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  0
Temp..............  61  59  56  52  50  49  48  47  47  46  46  47
RH................  33  40  49  56  61  66  68  74  74  79  79  79
20 FT Wind Dir....  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT Wind Spd....  4   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   5   5   6
20 FT Wind Gust...  10  8   7   6   6   7   8   10  11  12  13  14
Mix Hgt (kft).....  4.0 2.2 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.6
Transp Wind Dir...  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp Wind Spd...  10  10  9   9   9   9   9   10  10  10  10  10
LVORI.............  2   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   4   4   4
ADI...............  7   7   7   4   4   4   7   7   7   7   7   7

$$
Forecaster...Steinbugl
Requested by...Wade Kisler
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613303.0/CTP
.DELDT 05/11/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL wkisler@pa.gov